• العربية
  • فارسی
Brand
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Live TV
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Live TV
  • Theme
  • Language
    • العربية
    • فارسی
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Live TV
All rights reserved for Volant Media UK Limited
volant media logo
INSIGHT

How Iran’s blackout warps online picture of public opinion

Arash Sohrabi
Arash Sohrabi

Iran International

May 20, 2026, 14:58 GMT+1
People walk in Tehran Bazaar, in Tehran, Iran, May 16, 2026.
People walk in Tehran Bazaar, in Tehran, Iran, May 16, 2026.

The comment section under an Iran post can look like a national mood but under a blackout well into its third month, it is often something narrower: a space shaped by whitelisted access, economic privilege, cyber operations and fear.

Iran’s streets and comment sections increasingly project the same official mood: unity, defiance and loyalty. Nighttime rallies supply the images – flags, portraits, organized crowds. Online, many Iran-related posts draw a parallel chorus of praise for the Islamic Republic, celebration of its military posture and attacks on critics, often alongside tributes to slain Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and his still-unseen successor, Mojtaba Khamenei.

What the screen does not show is the pool of people removed before the argument even begins.

As Iran’s internet blackout pushes deeper into its third month, the question is no longer only what people are saying online.

It is who still has the connection, the permission, the protection or the incentive to say it.

100%
A government-organized public wedding ceremony in Tehran, May 18, 2026

A public square with missing people

The latest crisis did not begin with one switch. During the January uprising, internet access was cut on January 8 and remained fully restricted until January 28. After US-Israeli strikes began on February 28, authorities imposed a new shutdown that has now moved toward its third month.

A normal comment section, however flawed, allows some collision between competing voices. A blackout changes the sample.

Many ordinary users are pushed onto restricted domestic services. Others ration expensive workarounds. Some businesses cannot reach customers. Students lose access to material. Families abroad struggle to maintain daily contact. At the same time, state-aligned users, approved institutions and privileged accounts remain visible on global platforms.

The asymmetry has not been hidden. In March, Iran’s government said it was providing special internet access to select users capable of promoting its messaging online. A government spokeswoman did not use the term “white SIM cards,” but said connectivity was being offered to “those who can better deliver the message.”

That is the controlled sample: not a country speaking freely, but a narrower population still able to speak outward.

Narrative laundering

The most revealing development is not only who receives access. It is what some people are asked to do to regain it.

Some Iranians whose SIM cards or internet access had been blocked over alleged online activity against the Islamic Republic said they were told to submit handwritten pledges, provide guarantors and publish pro-government content to restore access.

The notices asked for home and work addresses, bank account information, images of bank cards and links to social media accounts. They also instructed recipients not to publish content deemed harmful to the country’s “psychological, social or political security.”

Some were told to publish at least 20 posts supporting the Islamic Republic and send screenshots as proof.

The posts were not to be uploaded all at once. They had to be spaced out so the activity would appear natural.

Others were ordered to attend nighttime government rallies, photograph themselves carrying flags or images of the Supreme Leader, and provide identification documents from guarantors who would accept responsibility for any future “criminal activity.”

The detail about timing is small, but it carries the whole design. The aim is not merely loyalty. It is loyalty made to look organic.

This is where the street and the screen meet. Organized rallies produce images of public unity. Selective internet access and coerced posting can carry the same choreography into comment sections, reply chains and social platforms.

The state does not need every supportive post to be fake. It needs a system in which supportive voices are easier to see, dissenting voices are harder to hear, and some frightened users learn that getting back online may require a public performance of loyalty.

The access ladder

Iran’s internet is no longer simply available or unavailable. It has been sorted.

At the top are so-called white SIM cards, widely understood as privileged lines that allow largely unrestricted access for trusted insiders and state-aligned users. Below them are paid and limited services such as “Internet Pro,” presented by officials as a business necessity but described by many Iranians as a class-based system of digital inequality.

Reporting on material circulating among users described a four-level structure: white SIM cards, paid Internet Pro, costly VPN access and, for the majority, a restricted domestic network.

The economic filter is severe. Average monthly income in Iran is at around $100 to $200, while the minimum wage is typically below $100. Even official Internet Pro packages and VPN routes can be unaffordable, and black-market access has reportedly pushed prices far higher.

Access also carries political exposure. For those who can afford a connection, the risk is not only cost but traceability. A user may be able to post, but with the knowledge that the same system can block a SIM card, summon a guarantor, demand a pledge or turn an online comment into a legal file.

The older machine

Iranian state-linked online influence operations long predate the current blackout. Microsoft has reported that Iranian cyber-enabled influence activity has been a consistent feature of at least the last three US election cycles.

In January, the Foundation for Defense of Democracies identified what it described as a likely regime-linked influence operation on X during protests, using coordinated accounts to delegitimize dissent, intimidate protesters and reinforce official narratives.

The report said the network included at least 289 accounts posting identical Persian-language content, with behavior suggesting a hybrid of automation and human operation.

But the current phase adds a more intimate layer. Foreign influence operations impersonate a public from a distance. Domestic coercion can pressure the public itself.

The old shorthand of “bots” misses the range of actors now shaping the visible online picture: automated accounts, organized cyber operators, loyalists with privileged access, state-linked media networks, paid voices, and users pushed to perform approval to recover ordinary tools of daily life.

The silence around the noise

The missing side of Iran’s online debate is not abstract.

It is the online seller without customers, the student without class materials, the programmer without contracts, the family unable to make a routine call abroad, and the person with disabilities cut off from services or communities that made daily life more manageable.

Against that background, pro-government comment floods do not prove a national mood. They show that some people still have access, some have protection, some have instructions, and many others have been priced out, cut off or made cautious by fear.

There are genuine supporters of the Islamic Republic. But a system that restricts millions, grants selective access, monitors users, blocks SIM cards and tells some people to space out loyalty posts cannot produce a clean reading of public opinion.

When a government cuts off the people and leaves the microphone to loyalists, the comment section stops being a public square.

It becomes part of the stage.

The real story is not only in the roar under the post. It is in the conditions that made so many others unable to answer back – and in the citizens told that to return to the internet, they must first praise the power that cut them off.

Most Viewed

Iran weighs attacks on military targets in Europe – FT
1

Iran weighs attacks on military targets in Europe – FT

2
VOICES FROM IRAN

Tehran gas stations run dry as fuel price hike fears mount

3

Iran campaign urges people to fund sacrifice of 10,000 sheep for Khamenei’s health

4

Luxury Tehran property asking prices surpass Munich and Sydney

5

An Iranian film broke every taboo. Viewers say society broke them first

Banner
Banner
Banner

Spotlight

  • UAE trade halt threatens one of Iran’s remaining economic lifelines
    ANALYSIS

    UAE trade halt threatens one of Iran’s remaining economic lifelines

  • Can Iran's fragile economy survive Trump's 'Economic D-Day'?
    ANALYSIS

    Can Iran's fragile economy survive Trump's 'Economic D-Day'?

  • The unlikely return of European diplomacy in the Iran-US conflict
    ANALYSIS

    The unlikely return of European diplomacy in the Iran-US conflict

  • For Iranian journalists, exile can last a lifetime
    OPINION

    For Iranian journalists, exile can last a lifetime

  • Seven months on, January protests still shape Iranians’ lives
    VOICES FROM IRAN

    Seven months on, January protests still shape Iranians’ lives

  • Forced to serve in the IRGC, now fighting to stay in Canada
    INSIGHT

    Forced to serve in the IRGC, now fighting to stay in Canada

  • Iranians told to post pro-government content to regain internet access

    Iranians told to post pro-government content to regain internet access

  • Iran keeps loyal voices online as public faces record internet blackout

    Iran keeps loyal voices online as public faces record internet blackout

  • Iranians denounce tiered internet plan as discriminatory and corrupt

    Iranians denounce tiered internet plan as discriminatory and corrupt