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ANALYSIS

Tehran tests a more confrontational strategy

Tehran tests a more confrontational strategy

Iran's ballistic missile strike on US forces in Jordan and its seizure of three oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz have dealt a fresh blow to efforts to preserve last month's Iran-US understanding.

What does Trump mean by 'finish the job' in Iran?

What does Trump mean by 'finish the job' in Iran?

President Donald Trump's repeated vow to "finish the job" in Iran appears to extend well beyond Tehran's nuclear program, according to experts, pointing instead to a broader plan to permanently weaken its military power, regional reach, and potentially its hold on power.

Ukraine's Iran ship strike was more about messaging than a new front, analysts say

A Ukrainian strike that killed a sailor aboard an Iranian vessel in the Caspian Sea has drawn a vow of retaliation from Tehran and warnings that two wars, fought until now a continent apart, are beginning to converge into a single theater.

Iran is living through America’s 2022 inflation shock almost every month

Consumer prices in Iran are nearly 89 percent higher than a year ago, as the country compresses into weeks the kind of inflation shock Americans experienced over all of 2022.

Iran bears biggest economic cost of Hormuz closure

Iran bears biggest economic cost of Hormuz closure

Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz appears to have dealt far greater damage to its own trade with China than to Beijing's commerce with the rest of the Persian Gulf, according to newly released Chinese customs data.

Russia’s gasoline imports add pressure to Iran’s strained fuel market

Russia’s gasoline imports add pressure to Iran’s strained fuel market

Russia’s turn to imported gasoline after Ukrainian attacks damaged its refineries is adding demand to a tight Asian fuel market, creating a potential new complication for Iran as it struggles to cover a daily shortfall of about 30 million liters.

Why Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain has become Trump’s next target

Why Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain has become Trump’s next target

President Donald Trump vowed Tuesday to strike Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain, but experts say the deeply buried nuclear facility, potentially central to Tehran’s efforts to restore enrichment, may be far harder to disable than his warning suggests.

Pakistan races to preserve Iran-US MoU amid widening war

Pakistan races to preserve Iran-US MoU amid widening war

Pakistan and Qatar are pressing ahead with efforts to revive Iran-US diplomacy, but Tehran has yet to publicly endorse the initiative as fighting continues over the Strait of Hormuz and resistance to renewed negotiations grows within sections of the Iranian establishment.

Beyond espionage: Araghchi says spies seek to shape Iran's decisions

Beyond espionage: Araghchi says spies seek to shape Iran's decisions

Foreign intelligence penetration of Iran is hardly a secret. But Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has now suggested the operation goes beyond locating officials or stealing information and seeks to influence decision-making inside the Islamic Republic itself.

One flight, two chokepoints: why Iran wants an air bridge to Yemen

One flight, two chokepoints: why Iran wants an air bridge to Yemen

An Iranian plane landing in Houthi-controlled Yemen looked like an oddly minor victory for Tehran. But it may have been the opening move in an effort to rebuild the allied force capable of threatening a second global maritime chokepoint alongside the Strait of Hormuz.

Did Mossad recruit Iran’s Holocaust-denying president?

Did Mossad recruit Iran’s Holocaust-denying president?

The alleged recruitment of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad by Mossad reads like a spy thriller and has been denied by his office. But it has renewed interest in Iran's most controversial president—and the ruthless infighting that turned a Leader’s darling into a political outcast.

Why so few Iranians have jobs despite low unemployment

Why so few Iranians have jobs despite low unemployment

Barely 37 percent of working-age Iranians have a job. Yet the government's official unemployment rate is only 7.5 percent. The gap between those two figures reveals less about Iran's labour market than about the way it is measured.

A remote bridge shows how US-Iran war is expanding

A remote bridge shows how US-Iran war is expanding

A reported US strike on a railway bridge in northern Iran has drawn attention to a lesser-known front in the widening conflict: the battle over the transport corridors linking Iran to Central Asia, Russia and China.

Hamas gives up Gaza government, but not Iran ties

Hamas gives up Gaza government, but not Iran ties

Hamas says it is stepping away from governing Gaza. But is it actually giving up power or turning away from its longtime backers in Tehran?

Potential state TV shakeup tests Iran’s willingness to rein in hardliners

Potential state TV shakeup tests Iran’s willingness to rein in hardliners

The looming end of Payman Jebelli’s term as head of Iran’s state broadcaster has become a political test of whether the country’s new leadership is prepared to rein in hardliners accused of hijacking public media.

The end of one-man rule? Iran tests life after Khamenei

The end of one-man rule? Iran tests life after Khamenei

As Iran adjusts to life after Ali Khamenei, a question once considered unthinkable is moving into the open: is the role of Supreme Leader itself being redefined?

Iran buries Khamenei as fight over his power continues

Iran buries Khamenei as fight over his power continues

As Iran holds week-long funeral ceremonies for Ali Khamenei, the political dynamics unfolding behind the scenes point to a striking reality: the succession question that dominated elite politics for more than a decade did not end with his death.

Behind the funeral: Khamenei’s coffin becomes stage for Iran’s wounded power

Behind the funeral: Khamenei’s coffin becomes stage for Iran’s wounded power

As Ali Khamenei’s coffin is carried through days of state-orchestrated mourning, the Islamic Republic is trying to recast a humiliating wartime death as martyrdom, continuity and power, and repair a system wounded by war and public distrust.

Mojtaba Khamenei’s key word for Iran’s future: a people given a mission

Mojtaba Khamenei’s key word for Iran’s future: a people given a mission

Since becoming Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei has repeatedly used ba’sat, a term rooted in divine mission, to cast Iranians not just as citizens but as a force tasked with carrying forward the Islamic Republic’s project at home and beyond.

Is Tehran preparing to reinvent the IRGC?

Is Tehran preparing to reinvent the IRGC?

Comments by an establishment pundit suggesting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) could be dismantled from within have raised an extraordinary question: is Tehran preparing to reinvent one of the pillars of the Islamic Republic?

Why falling oil prices don't mean Hormuz crisis is over

Why falling oil prices don't mean Hormuz crisis is over

Global oil prices have fallen back to around where they stood before the Iran war. But the decline reflects not a recovery in supply but a combination of emergency measures including strategic reserve releases, alternative export routes and, above all, weakening global demand.

Direct-to-cell offers Iranians future hope, not a fix today

Direct-to-cell offers Iranians future hope, not a fix today

Direct-to-cell satellite technology could one day help Iranians bypass part of the Islamic Republic’s digital blockade, but it is not yet a practical solution to the country’s internet shutdown despite widespread hopes.