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ANALYSIS

US strikes on Iran now serve the blockade

US strikes on Iran now serve the blockade

A possible resumption of US strikes on Iran would serve an increasingly economic war, weakening Tehran’s ability to challenge a blockade that Washington appears prepared to maintain for the foreseeable future.

Once US blockaded Iran, China’s ‘Malaysian’ oil imports dried up

Once US blockaded Iran, China’s ‘Malaysian’ oil imports dried up

China's imports of oil recorded as Malaysian have plunged alongside the collapse of Iranian exports under the US naval blockade, suggesting how heavily Iran relied on relabeling its crude for its biggest customer.

Istanbul meeting: A new division of labor in the Iran war?

Turkey will host the foreign ministers of seven countries on Friday for talks on the Iran-US war, security in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab, developments in Yemen and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

War warnings and talk of diplomacy compete in Tehran

Iranian leaders raised the conditions for negotiations with the United States and issued fresh warnings of a wider military response on Wednesday, even as signs persisted that Tehran was leaving room for diplomacy.

IRGC threatens undersea cables, but can it disrupt global internet?

IRGC threatens undersea cables, but can it disrupt global internet?

The Revolutionary Guards' threat to target undersea internet cables in the Strait of Hormuz raises questions about its feasibility, as the waterway carries a fraction of global bandwidth and damaging its cables would not shut down the world's internet.

Iran deal remains elusive amid risk of renewed strikes

Iran deal remains elusive amid risk of renewed strikes

Washington and Tehran may still reach a limited deal, but fundamental disagreements leave open the prospect of renewed escalation, analysts told Iran International, with the period after elections in Israel and the United States emerging as a potential turning point.

Iran risks losing ground as East-West trade routes expand

Iran risks losing ground as East-West trade routes expand

Investment in trade routes linking Asia and Europe through Central Asia and the Caucasus is putting pressure on Iran’s ambitions to become a major transit hub, with neighboring countries developing transport and digital networks that bypass Iranian territory.

Iran touts economic resilience while households struggle to afford basics

Iran touts economic resilience while households struggle to afford basics

Iran’s central bank governor has dismissed claims of economic collapse, while domestic media reports describe wages failing to cover basic living costs and families struggling to afford medicines, housing and car repairs.

Iran escalates Hormuz tanker attacks in gamble ahead of US midterms

Iran escalates Hormuz tanker attacks in gamble ahead of US midterms

Iran's surge in attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz may be an attempt to exploit US restraint ahead of the midterm elections and undermine a recovery in Persian Gulf oil shipments, experts told Iran International.

Tehran raises the stakes, betting Washington will blink

Tehran raises the stakes, betting Washington will blink

Despite signs of movement in negotiations with Washington, Tehran is showing little inclination to ease military pressure, pursuing diplomacy while signaling that renewed US attacks could trigger a broader regional response.

US military support against Houthis risks widening Iran war, expert says

US military support against Houthis risks widening Iran war, expert says

Washington could support the Saudi campaign against the Houthis at little direct cost by lifting political objections to its operations, but deeper military involvement risks appearing to widen the Iran war, senior Middle East analyst Ryan Bohl told Iran International.

Can US sanctions derail Iran’s China trade route?

Can US sanctions derail Iran’s China trade route?

Washington’s new sanctions are unlikely to stop a China–Iran freight train at the border, but may make the route Tehran has turned to under pressure from the US naval blockade costlier and less reliable.

Machete-wielding men at IRGC-backed rally revive scrutiny of crackdowns

Machete-wielding men at IRGC-backed rally revive scrutiny of crackdowns

Footage and images showing men wielding machetes and swords at an IRGC-backed rally in the central Iranian city of Isfahan have renewed scrutiny of the Islamic Republic's history of using unofficial armed groups to suppress anti-government protests.

Three years after October 7, Iran pays the price of miscalculation

Three years after October 7, Iran pays the price of miscalculation

Three years after Hamas's October 7 attack on Israel, the Islamic Republic faces a weakened network of regional allies, direct military confrontation and mounting economic pressure, upending its long-held strategy of deterring enemies while keeping war away from its territory.

From talks to war: Tehran sees the gap narrowing

From talks to war: Tehran sees the gap narrowing

Fears of renewed war with the United States, Israel or both are growing in Iran, as military officials talk openly about pre-emptive action and analysts warn that the distance between diplomacy and another round of fighting is becoming dangerously short.

China shifts to Iraqi oil: is Iran using old workaround to beat US blockade?

China shifts to Iraqi oil: is Iran using old workaround to beat US blockade?

China’s independent refiners are turning to Iraqi crude to replace dwindling Iranian supplies as a US blockade chokes Tehran’s exports, raising questions about whether Iran is using an old workaround to reach its buyers: disguising its own oil as Iraqi.

Houthi gains reversed at Bab al-Mandab, but Iran’s leverage runs deeper

Houthi gains reversed at Bab al-Mandab, but Iran’s leverage runs deeper

Saudi-backed Yemeni forces on Monday reversed weeks of Houthi gains around Bab al-Mandab, the strategic strait linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden, exposing vulnerabilities in the Iran-backed group even as fighting elsewhere showed how far Yemen remains from a decisive shift.

What can Iran’s new oil chief change under the US blockade?

What can Iran’s new oil chief change under the US blockade?

Iran’s oil minister Mohsen Paknejad resigned Sunday, leaving acting minister Hamid Bovard with crude exports choked by a US blockade and scrutiny of intermediaries used to sell sanctioned oil, raising questions over what he can change.

Iran’s Olympiad paradox: Building scientific talent for a future abroad

Iran’s Olympiad paradox: Building scientific talent for a future abroad

Iran’s scientific Olympiad system has become a pipeline of elite talent into universities feeding sensitive nuclear, missile and technology sectors, even as many of the same high achievers leave the country for better opportunities abroad.

Security meeting, military buildup: US weighs next move on Iran?

Security meeting, military buildup: US weighs next move on Iran?

An unannounced meeting of President Donald Trump’s senior national security team at Camp David, as another aircraft carrier and thousands more US troops move toward the Middle East, has raised the prospect of another major operation against Iran.

Can the Caspian give Iran a way around Hormuz?

Can the Caspian give Iran a way around Hormuz?

With war disrupting Iran’s southern trade routes, Tehran is looking north to the Caspian for alternatives. But the available evidence suggests they cannot replace its crucial oil exports.

Iran's rhetoric against UAE hardens after Netanyahu visit

Iran's rhetoric against UAE hardens after Netanyahu visit

Iranian officials and media have sharply condemned Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to the UAE, warning Abu Dhabi over its deepening ties with Israel amid renewed tensions over three disputed Persian Gulf islands.