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Democrats turn Iran war costs against Trump as midterms near

Aug 14, 2026, 04:08 GMT+1
A board displays gas prices amid the ongoing conflict with US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Washington D.C., U.S., March 15, 2026.
A board displays gas prices amid the ongoing conflict with US-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Washington D.C., U.S., March 15, 2026.

US Democrats appear to be sharpening their attacks on President Donald Trump over the economic fallout from the Iran war as rising fuel and household costs become an increasingly potent issue ahead of November’s midterm elections.

The growing criticism comes as the national average gasoline price has again climbed above $4 a gallon and Democrats show signs of eroding what has traditionally been a Republican advantage with voters on the economy. Gas prices have risen by more than 25% since the Iran war began in February.

Rep. Nikki Budzinski of Illinois pointed Thursday to the latest increase in gasoline prices, saying the national average had reached a record for this point in the year.

“The national gas average just hit a historic high for this time of year—more than $4 a gallon,” she wrote on X. “Families in Central Illinois are paying the price of the war in Iran every single time they pull up to the pump.”

Rep. Andrea Salinas of Oregon said American farmers spent $1.4 billion more on diesel during the spring planting season than a year earlier, blaming the increase on the conflict.

“With Trump’s ILLEGAL war pushing fuel prices higher and higher, growers are the ones paying the price,” she wrote.

The attacks come as polling suggests the economy is becoming an increasingly difficult issue for Trump and Republicans three months before the November 3 midterms.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released this month found 37% of registered voters preferred Democrats’ approach to the economy, compared with 36% who favored Republicans—the first Democratic advantage on the issue in roughly a decade.

A separate Washington Post/Ipsos poll last month found the economy and high prices were the most commonly cited factors in voters’ midterm choices, mentioned by 54% of registered voters. Only 33% approved of Trump’s handling of the economy, against 65% who disapproved.

Rep. Jim McGovern of Massachusetts sought to connect the war with Trump’s broader economic agenda, including tariffs and tax policy.

“Trump promised to lower prices on day one,” McGovern wrote. “Instead, his billionaires-first economic policies, stupid tariffs & illegal war with Iran are pushing prices to record highs.”

“His policy choices are making your life more expensive while the ultra rich do better than ever before,” he added.

Inflation eased slightly in July but remained above levels seen before the Iran war, while consumer prices have now risen faster than wages for four consecutive months.

Sen. Bernie Sanders sharpened the argument by contrasting federal spending on the war and tax cuts with the cost pressures facing households.

“$900 million for White House vanity projects? Approved. $1 trillion tax cut for the 1%? Approved. $1 trillion for war with Iran? Approved,” Sanders wrote.

“Lower grocery, housing or gas prices? Sorry, you're on your own. Money for billionaires. Money for war. Nothing for working people.”

The growing Democratic focus on gasoline, groceries and the Iran war suggests the party sees an opportunity to turn an issue that helped return Trump to the White House in 2024 against Republicans in November.

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Iran lawmakers push back on regional monitoring of Hormuz

Aug 14, 2026, 01:04 GMT+1
•
Behrouz Turani
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Members of Iran's Parliament debate a bill in a hybrid (online/in-person) session, July 27, 2026

A dispute in Iran’s parliament over the terms for reopening the Strait of Hormuz is threatening to complicate negotiations in Muscat, as lawmakers challenge a proposed role for Oman and Pakistan in monitoring shipping through the waterway.

The dispute centers on plans for a three-country verification mechanism being discussed as Iranian, Omani and Pakistani technical committees work on the operational details of a temporary navigation arrangement.

Hardline lawmakers argue that the government cannot implement the proposed arrangement without parliamentary debate and a formal vote, raising a broader dispute over constitutional authority and military jurisdiction.

Their opposition is focused particularly on third-party verification. Hardliners argue that sharing vessel-tracking responsibilities with Pakistani or Omani personnel, even within a joint cell, would undermine the IRGC Navy’s authority over screening in the Persian Gulf.

Commentators aligned with this view have also warned that external verification channels could be exploited by Western intelligence, potentially giving NATO or US naval forces access to information about Iranian coastal movements under the guise of commercial monitoring.

Regional shield or security risk?

Reformist outlets Shargh and Etemad have argued that involving Pakistan and Oman would instead provide Tehran with a diplomatic shield by reducing pressure for direct US or NATO naval escorts inside the strait’s traffic lanes.

Writing in Shargh, Ahmad Zeidabadi warned that blocking regional verification “does not defend our sovereignty; it locks our economy into a suffocating siege,” adding that a functioning Muscat-Islamabad verification mechanism offered Iran a way to avert deeper economic damage.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei, meanwhile, reaffirmed that any US or NATO military escorts within the strait’s traffic lanes remained prohibited under the draft terms, even as third-party verification continued to be considered in Muscat, according to IRNA.

Parliament pushes tougher terms

The dispute comes as lawmakers are also considering legislation that could further constrain Tehran’s room for compromise over Hormuz.

Iranian media reported that parliament held a closed-door session over the National Security and Foreign Policy Commission’s draft bill restricting the movement of vessels linked to countries Tehran considers hostile.

Hardline lawmakers have pushed for a mandatory transit charge of 5% to 7% on non-exempt commercial bulk cargo to fund coastal defense and infrastructure repairs, alongside tighter inspection requirements.

Pro-Pezeshkian lawmakers and National Security Committee spokesman Hassan Ghashghavi have argued that the proposed verification cell is a technical mechanism operating under the Supreme National Security Council framework rather than a new international treaty requiring lengthy parliamentary ratification.

Government representatives have also warned that imposing statutory tolls could undermine the Muscat negotiations and discourage foreign shipping lines from using Iranian ports.

The competing approaches reflect a wider struggle in Tehran over what Iran should seek to preserve from its wartime control of Hormuz: maximum control and economic leverage, or a regional mechanism that could restore shipping without opening the waterway to a greater US or NATO role.

The dispute could prove consequential for the Muscat talks, as any agreement requiring Omani or Pakistani participation in monitoring traffic would have to overcome objections from lawmakers, while tougher statutory restrictions on shipping could further narrow the government’s room to negotiate.

US vows 'indefinite' blockade as Iran signals offensive posture

Aug 14, 2026, 00:16 GMT+1
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An illustration released by US Central Command depicts one-way attack drones operating across air, surface and subsurface domains.

The US-Iran standoff is hardening around the Strait of Hormuz, with Washington saying it can sustain maritime pressure indefinitely and Tehran signaling readiness for a prolonged confrontation and more offensive operations.

The United States is preparing to send the USS George Washington to the Middle East in a previously scheduled rotation, while Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Thursday that rotating ships would allow the US Navy to maintain its blockade for as long as necessary.

“Indefinitely the United States Navy can maintain a blockade like that because we'll rotate ships in and out, as we have, and we'll continue to,” Hegseth told reporters.

The George Washington is expected to replace the USS Abraham Lincoln, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing US officials. The Lincoln was redirected to the Middle East in January ahead of the US war against Iran and has now spent more than 250 days deployed.

CENTCOM also announced Thursday the creation of its first multinational, multi-domain attack drone task force, building on the use of one-way unmanned systems during Operation Epic Fury and strikes on Iranian port facilities in July.

Task Force Falcon Strike will use one-way attack drones in the air, on the surface and below it, with US Special Operations Command Central personnel leading the unit and regional partners being formally invited to join.

Iran signals offensive posture

In Tehran, Mohammad Mokhber, an adviser to Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, said Thursday that Khamenei’s strategy was to shift the war to an offensive posture if Iran’s conditions were not met.

That emphasis was also reflected in Khamenei’s appointment of six senior military commanders earlier this week.

His decree naming Ahmad Vahidi commander-in-chief of the IRGC instructed him to strengthen the force’s capabilities for “maximum deterrence” and maintain readiness for “powerful offensive operations against the enemy.”

IRGC Navy commander Ali Azmaei, also formally appointed this week, said Thursday that the Strait of Hormuz remained closed and that no movement through it escaped the force’s notice.

Rasoul Sanaei-Rad, a senior military official, said Iran was preparing for “worst-case” war scenarios and needed offensive capabilities alongside defensive ones. “Our fighters have their fingers on the trigger,” he said, adding that Iran would seek to impose a much heavier defeat if attacked again.

All about Hormuz

Hormuz remains the immediate test of those competing claims of endurance.

Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters said Thursday that no commercial ship or oil tanker could safely pass through the waterway without Tehran’s permission and oversight.

The United States, meanwhile, says its blockade remains in force. CENTCOM said that as of Wednesday, US forces had redirected 59 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two others while enforcing what it calls its “steel wall blockade” against Iran.

Off the water, diplomatic contacts have continued despite the military buildup.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi warned Washington Thursday against what he called a “bigger miscalculation” over the Strait of Hormuz, while Vice President Majid Ansari said war and negotiations were “complementary” and that Iran would pursue its objectives in the waterway and the wider region.

The parallel military and diplomatic tracks have yet to produce a breakthrough over Hormuz. Instead, Thursday’s statements suggested both sides are preparing for the possibility that the standoff will last.

Land routes cannot replace Iran’s blocked sea trade, chamber official warns

Aug 13, 2026, 12:30 GMT+1
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Replacing a single ship carrying essential goods to Iran would require about 2,500 trucks, a Chamber of Commerce official warned, saying land routes cannot offset the US maritime blockade and negotiations are the only realistic way to restore trade.

Davoud Rangi, vice chair of the chamber’s Import Management Committee, said Iran receives around 400 to 500 ships carrying essential goods each year, making any attempt to replace maritime imports with overland transport impractical.

“Mobilizing this number of trucks is far-fetched for us, and even if they were mobilized, transportation costs would rise sharply,” Rangi told Eghtesad News on Thursday.

He said Iranian authorities should not count on land corridors as a substitute for the country’s southern ports because neighboring states could restrict border traffic at short notice and the routes lack the capacity to handle the necessary volume of goods.

Neighboring governments could close a border “with a single order,” he said, adding that the justification would not necessarily have to be political or military and could instead involve quarantine or veterinary restrictions of the kind Iran has faced before.

Rangi said land routes through countries such as Turkey or Pakistan might accommodate around one million tons of cargo annually, but could not come close to replacing Iran’s maritime trade.

“At a small scale, perhaps one million tons of cargo a year could be brought in through Turkey or Pakistan, but 23 million tons, or even half of that, is simply inconceivable,” he said.

  • Iran loses ground in oil market as neighbors rebound

    Iran loses ground in oil market as neighbors rebound

The warning comes as Iran’s southern ports remain under pressure from the war. IRGC attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz have escalated regional tensions in recent weeks, while the United States intensified economic pressure on Tehran through a maritime blockade.

The outlook for negotiations between Tehran and Washington over reopening the Strait of Hormuz remains uncertain, with concerns also growing over a possible expansion of the regional conflict.

Negotiations seen as only viable way out

Rangi said negotiations and a reduction in military tensions were the only practical route to lifting the blockade and restoring the regular flow of essential goods into Iran.

Attempting to rely instead on overland corridors would impose heavy losses on importers, he said, because of both limited capacity and sharply higher transportation costs.

The blockade is also complicating Iranian exports, particularly containerized trade.

Rangi said vessels carrying bulk commodities could more easily be allowed to pass, while container ships pose a greater problem because individual containers cannot practically be separated from the rest of a ship’s cargo.

“We are extremely vulnerable on the southern route, in Bandar Abbas and Chabahar, but along the northern and western corridors the situation is much better for exports than for imports,” he said.

Iran’s economy has already come under mounting pressure in recent months from the continuing conflict, tighter sanctions and a sharp decline in the value of the rial.

Surging inflation and falling purchasing power have further strained household finances, making essential goods increasingly difficult to afford for a large part of the population.

Iran could prolong war to outlast Trump, IRGC adviser says

Aug 12, 2026, 19:08 GMT+1
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Senior Iranian commander Mohammad Reza Naghdi speaks to PBS

A senior adviser to the commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guards said Tehran could deliberately prolong the war until US President Donald Trump leaves office to wear down its adversaries and deter future attacks.

"One way is to prolong this war until we get to the next term of the presidency and cause attrition, so that if anyone else wants to attack Iran, they will know there is a cost," Mohammad Reza Naghdi told PBS NewsHour on Tuesday.

Naghdi made the comment after being asked directly whether Iran's objective was to drag out the war and wait until Trump was out of office.

He said Iran needed to establish enough deterrence to prevent future attacks.

"We have to attain deterrence so that the enemy never dares to attack us, so we can live with security," he said.

Civilian ships in Strait of Hormuz

Naghdi also defended attacks by Iranian forces on non-military vessels attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz.

Asked why Iran had attacked civilian ships on at least two occasions this week, Naghdi said Tehran needed to control shipping routes during wartime.

"When we are at war, vessels need to pass through a region we can control," he said. "When they leave an area that we control, it could be that they're transporting supplies for the enemy."

Asked whether attacking civilian vessels violated international law, Naghdi said Iran had the right to control routes it viewed as a threat during a war.

"When you're in a state of war, any thoroughfare deemed to be a threat, we can control it," he said.

His comments came as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen sharply amid the conflict and attacks on commercial vessels.

Khamenei absence due to security, Naghdi says

Naghdi was also asked why Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei had not appeared publicly during the war.

"Naturally, it is due to security," Naghdi said when asked whether his absence was for security reasons. "Certainly, there is no other reason."

Asked whether he had personally seen Khamenei, Naghdi declined to answer.

"Let's leave this matter alone," he said.

PBS said it asked the White House for a response to Naghdi's remarks.

"It would be wise for Iran to agree to a deal," the White House said in a statement cited by PBS, adding: "Otherwise they know what will happen."

Iran loses ground in oil market as neighbors rebound

Aug 12, 2026, 18:14 GMT+1
•
Dalga Khatinoglu
100%
The P4 offshore platform at Iran’s Reshadat oil field in the Persian Gulf, completed in June 2026.

OPEC oil production continued its sharp post-war recovery in July, but Iran remained a notable exception, with output still around a quarter below pre-war levels and its oil revenues taking an even steeper hit.

Iran produced 2.478 million barrels per day (bpd) in July, up just 26,000 bpd from June, according to OPEC’s latest monthly report.

By contrast, Saudi Arabia increased output by about 590,000 bpd, Iraq by 665,000 bpd and Kuwait by 393,000 bpd. Combined crude production among OPEC members rose by about 1.66 million bpd in July to 23.63 million bpd.

Iran’s export revenues have recovered even more slowly.

Commodity intelligence firm Kpler told Iran International that daily deliveries of Iranian crude to Chinese refineries fell from more than 1.7 million bpd in March and April to less than 500,000 bpd in July.

Kpler said Iran offered its crude at a discount of more than $5 a barrel in July, while transportation costs exceeded $10 a barrel. Once payments to intermediaries were included, it estimated that at least 25% of the nominal value of Iran’s oil sales was lost before the proceeds reached the country.

At July’s export volumes, Kpler estimated that crude delivered to China had a nominal value of about $1.2 billion. That compares with average monthly oil revenues of about $3.8 billion last year, according to OPEC estimates.

China has long been overwhelmingly the largest destination for Iranian crude, leaving Tehran particularly exposed to changes in purchases by Chinese refineries.

Iran struggles to restore output

Iranian production fell by nearly 1 million bpd between the beginning of the Middle East war and May, according to OPEC figures.

Over the following two months, it recovered by only about 200,000 bpd, reaching 2.478 million bpd in July. The pace of that recovery slowed sharply last month, with the 26,000-bpd increase leaving production roughly a quarter below pre-war levels.

The figures contrast with the much faster restoration of production elsewhere in the Persian Gulf following the severe disruptions caused by the war.

Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Kuwait accounted for much of OPEC’s July increase as producers took advantage of the temporary ceasefire to restore output. Despite the rebound, regional production remains well below levels before the conflict, with large volumes of Persian Gulf supply still offline.

The contrast is even sharper with the United Arab Emirates, which left OPEC in May and has since sharply expanded production. OPEC continues to track UAE output in its monthly report despite its departure from the group.

OPEC estimates that UAE crude production reached around 3.78 million bpd in July, approximately 882,000 bpd above its level in the months preceding the war.

Venezuela also continued its recovery, with production reaching about 1.12 million bpd in July, up from around 940,000 bpd in January.

For Iran, however, the combination of depressed production, sharply lower deliveries to China and the costs associated with selling and transporting its crude means the financial recovery has lagged even further behind the rebound in output.