• العربية
  • فارسی
Brand
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
  • Theme
  • Language
    • العربية
    • فارسی
  • Iran Insight
  • Politics
  • Economy
  • Analysis
  • Special Report
  • Opinion
  • Podcast
All rights reserved for Volant Media UK Limited
volant media logo
VOICES FROM IRAN

Power, water outages disrupt daily life across Iran

Jun 25, 2026, 13:40 GMT+1
File photo shows residents queue with containers to collect water from a public distribution point in the central Iranian city of Yazd amid water cuts.
File photo shows residents queue with containers to collect water from a public distribution point in the central Iranian city of Yazd amid water cuts.

Daily electricity and water outages disrupted life across Iran as summer began, with residents blaming years of underinvestment and deteriorating infrastructure despite officials citing rising demand and shrinking water supplies.

Messages sent to Iran International from residents in Khuzestan, Ilam, Lorestan, East Azarbaijan, Alborz, Tehran and other provinces described hours-long daily power cuts and recurring water shortages that began with the onset of summer.

The reports come as much of Iran experiences extreme heat, placing additional strain on the country's aging electricity and water networks.

A resident of Khuzestan, one of Iran's main electricity-producing provinces, said scheduled power cuts had resumed despite the province generating far more electricity than it consumes.

"On the first day of summer, with temperatures above 50 degrees Celsius, they started cutting electricity again in a province that produces twice its own needs."

Residents in Ilam province also reported electricity outages lasting up to four hours as temperatures reached 46 degrees Celsius. One warned that if the blackouts continue, authorities would face "angry and protesting people."

In Pardis, east of Tehran, a resident of a 14-story apartment building said electricity was cut for four hours during the day, leaving elevators out of service.

"How are we supposed to climb all these stairs?"

Others said the loss of elevator access posed particular difficulties for elderly residents and families with young children.

Water shortages deepen disruption

Citizens also reported prolonged water outages, which they said often coincided with electricity cuts because pumping stations stopped operating.

Mehdi Masaeli, secretary of Iran's Electricity Industry Syndicate, said last year that water supplies are interrupted when electricity fails because pumps stop working.

Residents in Boumehen near Tehran said they had access to running water on only two days during the previous week, and then only for a few hours.

"We have a sick person at home. We no longer know who to turn to."

People from Shahriar and Qods, west of Tehran, also described prolonged water cuts, with some saying supplies were unavailable from mid-afternoon until early the following morning. Several said repeated calls to the local water utility produced only tracking numbers and recorded messages.

"Water is a basic necessity, not a luxury service."

Officials have cited falling reservoir levels, declining rainfall and rising consumption as the main causes of the shortages. Many people, however, said authorities were blaming consumers instead of addressing years of underinvestment and poor management.

File photo shows residents lining up with containers to collect water from a tanker truck during water shortages in Iran.
100%
File photo shows residents lining up with containers to collect water from a tanker truck during water shortages in Iran.

One message from Ilam province said the city of Shabab had gone without running water for three consecutive days.

Some also compared the shortages with recent warnings about attacks on infrastructure.

"There was no need for anyone to attack the energy infrastructure," one citizen wrote. "Government inefficiency has taken our water away and pushed us back to the Stone Age. We carry water home in containers."

Higher bills, aging infrastructure

People also complained that utility bills had increased even as services deteriorated.

A resident in Zanjan said electricity and water tariffs had quietly risen just as power cuts resumed. In Ahvaz, people reported sharply higher water bills, with one saying many families could no longer afford to pay them and that local authorities were unwilling to offer installment plans.

Energy experts have long warned that Iran's electricity and water systems suffer from years of inadequate investment in power generation, transmission networks and water infrastructure.

They say authorities have repeatedly relied on rotating blackouts and water restrictions to manage seasonal shortages rather than addressing the underlying causes, leaving households increasingly vulnerable during periods of extreme heat.

Most Viewed

Don’t feed us, free us: Iranians hit back at Vance over 'hunger' remarks
1
VOICES FROM IRAN

Don’t feed us, free us: Iranians hit back at Vance over 'hunger' remarks

2
EXCLUSIVE

IRGC personnel sheltered in Shiraz lodging complex were target of deadly strike

3
EXCLUSIVE

Opium for survival: Inside a shift in Iran’s Zagros villages

4

IAEA chief says inspectors will visit Iran enrichment sites under US-Iran MoU

5
INSIGHT

President's economic reality check fuels Iran's US deal debate

Banner
Banner
Banner

Spotlight

  • Sources detail Ali Khamenei bunker with blast-resistant room
    EXCLUSIVE

    Sources detail Ali Khamenei bunker with blast-resistant room

  • Unveiled in wartime, targeted in peacetime?
    INSIGHT

    Unveiled in wartime, targeted in peacetime?

  • US sanctions waiver could bring Iran's oil trade out of the shadows
    ANALYSIS

    US sanctions waiver could bring Iran's oil trade out of the shadows

  • Hardline revolt targets Ghalibaf over US agreement
    INSIGHT

    Hardline revolt targets Ghalibaf over US agreement

  • IRGC personnel sheltered in Shiraz lodging complex were target of deadly strike
    EXCLUSIVE

    IRGC personnel sheltered in Shiraz lodging complex were target of deadly strike

  • Don’t feed us, free us: Iranians hit back at Vance over 'hunger' remarks
    VOICES FROM IRAN

    Don’t feed us, free us: Iranians hit back at Vance over 'hunger' remarks

  • Opium for survival: Inside a shift in Iran’s Zagros villages
    EXCLUSIVE

    Opium for survival: Inside a shift in Iran’s Zagros villages

  • Iran runs dry as Islamic Republic funds ideology and foreign proxies

    Iran runs dry as Islamic Republic funds ideology and foreign proxies

  • Rampant electricity outages take toll on frustrated Iranians

    Rampant electricity outages take toll on frustrated Iranians

•
•
•

More Stories

Iran’s negotiators have 60 days; its factories may not

Jun 25, 2026, 13:21 GMT+1
•
Mohamad Machine-Chian
Iran’s negotiators have 60 days; its factories may not
100%

Iran’s negotiators have opened a renewable 60-day clock. Its factories may not have that long. The Chamber of Commerce’s own PMI survey shows warehouses emptying, orders drying up and production lines at risk of stoppage within months.

Every serious economy watcher knows the ritual. At the start of each month, the purchasing managers’ indexes land, and markets move.

A PMI is the closest thing economics has to a pulse reading. Surveyors ask the people who run companies a simple set of questions about the month just ended: did production rise or fall, did new orders come in, are you hiring?

The answers are compressed into a number from 0 to 100. The 50 line separates growth from contraction. A few points below 50 signals trouble.

Readings under 40 usually belong to crises. When the index for US manufacturing fell to 41.5 in April 2020, with the country in lockdown, it made headlines for weeks.

A pulse reading below crisis level

Iran has a PMI too. Few outside the country have heard of it.

Since 2018, the research center of Iran’s Chamber of Commerce has surveyed managers of Iranian firms every month, following standard PMI methodology, and published the result under the Persian acronym Shamekh. The acronym is formed from Shakhes-e Modiran-e Kharid, literally “the index of purchasing managers.”

It is the instrument Iran’s own business establishment built to take the economy’s pulse. Official inflation statistics can be delayed, reweighted and narrated. A factory’s order book is harder to argue with.

That is what makes the latest readings so remarkable.

In March, the month war hit business conditions, Iran’s manufacturing Shamekh registered 26.2.

Some calibration is necessary, because the scale matters.

In April 2020, the cruelest month of the pandemic for many economies, Spain’s manufacturing PMI fell to 30.8. Britain’s fell to 32.6, its worst reading in roughly three decades. India, which confined 1.4 billion people to their homes, recorded 27.4, the lowest in that survey’s history.

Iran’s manufacturing sector in March came in below every one of them.

And the comparison flatters the situation, because those pandemic readings measured economies in a medically induced coma. Governments had deliberately and temporarily shut commerce down. Within months, every one of those indexes was back above 50.

No one switched Iran’s economy off to save lives.

Epic Fury may have concluded, but the economic fury continues. Judging by the latest figures, it is working. Iran’s industry is being suffocated by war, sanctions and the lingering effects of a naval blockade whose dismantling has now been promised but not yet proved in economic life.

The difference is the difference between a pause and a stroke.

Empty warehouses, falling orders

The 26.2 reading was never announced in a standalone report.

The chamber skipped its March publication. The figure surfaced quietly in a chart accompanying the April edition.

April itself brought no relief worth the name. Manufacturing stood at 37.4, while the whole-economy index was 38.5. Apart from March, these were the lowest readings in the survey’s history.

Iranian industry has now spent five consecutive months below the 50 line, meaning five straight months of contraction.

  • US sanctions waiver could bring Iran's oil trade out of the shadows

    US sanctions waiver could bring Iran's oil trade out of the shadows

The Iranian New Year holidays, known as Nowruz, always slow business activity around late March and early April. Factories close, workers travel and early-spring readings often weaken. But the survey has eight Nowruz seasons on record, and none came anywhere near these levels.

Ten of the survey’s eleven components are below 50.

New orders, at 37.4, show demand drying up at home and in export markets alike. Delivery times, at 39.6, carry some of the report’s most telling explanations: internet shutdowns, broken payment channels and import restrictions.

Raw-material inventories stand at 32.6. That is not just a weak number; it is a warning about the physical ability to keep producing.

  • President's economic reality check fuels Iran's US deal debate

    President's economic reality check fuels Iran's US deal debate

Here the chamber’s own language turns blunt. If conditions persist, it warns, production lines face partial or complete stoppage in the months ahead.

Employment, at 36.8, is the lowest in the survey’s history, even lower than during the war month itself. The layoffs did not end with the ceasefire. They are deepening.

One component points the other way, and it completes the picture.

The price of raw materials stands at 77.4, deep in inflationary territory. Iranian firms are producing less, selling less and paying more for what they buy.

  • Tehran bread prices jump up to 100% in latest increase

    Tehran bread prices jump up to 100% in latest increase

Demonstrating stagflation usually requires setting two datasets side by side. Here, both halves sit on a single page of a single report, published by a single institution.

The costs are already passing through to households. Consumer prices rose nearly 9 percent in May. Not at an annual rate. In one month.

That is roughly what American consumers endured across the whole of 2022.

  • Iran may get a lifeline, but major obstacles remain

    Iran may get a lifeline, but major obstacles remain

A 60-day clock factories may not have

What turns a bad snapshot into a worse forecast is the composition underneath.

For years, two sectors helped hold the index up: steel and petrochemicals. They are among Iran’s principal earners of hard currency, and they reliably scored above 50, pulling the average with them.

By the chamber’s own account, both were directly struck in the war.

Their weakness closes a loop. Fewer exports mean less foreign exchange. Less foreign exchange means scarcer and costlier imported inputs. Scarcer inputs mean still less production.

  • Relief or resistance? Tehran dailies offer diverging readings of talks

    Relief or resistance? Tehran dailies offer diverging readings of talks

Set that loop beside the emptying warehouses, and beside a blockade that, by available estimates, has cost the economy on the order of $430 million a day. Even if the new memorandum begins to unwind it, the damage already done will not disappear on the day diplomats announce progress.

The component worth watching now is the quietest one: expectations of production for the month ahead.

It stands at 32.2, among the lowest readings the survey has ever produced. That question is about the future, answered by the people with the most direct knowledge of it and the least incentive for theater.

A memorandum now promises to change that future. A promise of the same kind preceded last year’s 12-day war in June 2025. Whether this one holds, or goes the way of that one, is the open question.

The agreement commits Washington to begin dismantling the blockade at once. But a signed page is not a furnace relit.

The talks in a Swiss resort started last week, and the 60 days the memorandum allots to reach a deal are, in the American president’s own telling, extendable by mutual consent.

  • A thaw with the US won't fill Iranian tables overnight

    A thaw with the US won't fill Iranian tables overnight

Tehran has run this clock before. It is reportedly running it now over Lebanon.

At current inventories, the chamber’s surveyors warn, production lines face stoppage in the months ahead.

A government that spends its factories’ last quarter on a war beyond its borders has ranked its priorities. The managers who answered at 26 sit far down the list.

CoinEx became key channel for Iranian crypto flows – WSJ

Jun 25, 2026, 11:31 GMT+1
CoinEx became key channel for Iranian crypto flows – WSJ
100%
AI-generated illustration depicting CoinEx's role in cryptocurrency flows linked to Iran.

Iranian entities moved more than $3.84 billion in cryptocurrency through the Seychelles-based exchange CoinEx over the past six years, helping connect Iran's crypto ecosystem to global markets despite US sanctions, The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday.

CoinEx, the report said, has emerged as the largest foreign counterparty to Iran's biggest cryptocurrency exchange, Nobitex, replacing Binance after the latter tightened sanctions compliance.

The Journal said its reporting drew on blockchain data compiled by blockchain intelligence firm TRM Labs, which traced transactions involving more than 60 Iranian-linked entities.

Wallets with identifiable links to Iran, according to the analysis, transferred more than $3.84 billion through CoinEx since 2019. More than $763 million moved between CoinEx and Nobitex in 2025 alone, making CoinEx Nobitex's largest international counterparty.

  • From banks to blockchains: US opens new front in Iran sanctions

    From banks to blockchains: US opens new front in Iran sanctions

The report also traced part of the proceeds from the $1.5 billion Bybit cryptocurrency theft earlier this year to digital wallets attributed to Iran's Central Bank.

Investigators said the funds were routed through multiple blockchains, decentralized finance protocols and unhosted wallets before reaching Nobitex. Ultimately, approximately $67 million was transferred into CoinEx deposit accounts, where it was mixed with other customer funds, making further tracing impossible.

The transactions, the Journal said, illustrate the challenges authorities face in enforcing sanctions through blockchain-based financial systems, where funds can move across multiple networks before reaching centralized exchanges.

  • Cyberattack hits Iran’s largest crypto exchange Nobitex

    Cyberattack hits Iran’s largest crypto exchange Nobitex

CoinEx disputes allegations

CoinEx founder Haipo Yang acknowledged to the newspaper that the exchange had been widely used by Iranian customers but said it had no relationship with the Iranian government.

In a statement issued after publication of the report, CoinEx rejected suggestions that it had knowingly facilitated sanctions evasion or maintained ties with Iranian government institutions.

"CoinEx has never established any commercial relationship with Iranian government-related entities or Iranian domestic exchanges," the company said, adding that it had "never knowingly provided any form of facilitation" to sanctioned individuals or organizations.

100%

The exchange also said it was blacklisted by Iranian authorities in 2021, had never maintained an office in Iran and disputed TRM's methodology for calculating transaction volumes, arguing that blockchain analytics vary between providers.

CoinEx said the transactions involving Alireza Derakhshan, an Iranian accused by the United States of helping run a network that sold Iranian oil, and Zedcex, a London-registered cryptocurrency exchange linked by US authorities to Iranian tycoon Babak Zanjani, occurred before US sanctions were imposed on those entities. Zanjani has described himself as a strategist for the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps' sanctions-evasion operations.

CoinEx also said it had helped freeze accounts linked to the Bybit hack and would conduct an internal review of the transactions highlighted by the newspaper.

Compliance tightened

Yang told the Journal that CoinEx recently stopped accepting new users from Iran and began removing existing Iranian accounts after US sanctions earlier this month targeted Nobitex.

The exchange said it has strengthened sanctions screening, introduced geographic restrictions for Iranian users, enhanced transaction monitoring and expanded customer identification procedures as part of a broader effort to reduce sanctions-related risks.

The Journal said cryptocurrency remains popular among ordinary Iranians seeking to protect savings from the weakening rial, with researchers estimating that about 13% of Iran's population owns digital assets in a market valued at between $8 billion and $10 billion in 2025.

The same infrastructure, the report said, has also become an important channel through which Iranian-linked entities can access the broader global cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Unveiled in wartime, targeted in peacetime?

Jun 25, 2026, 09:53 GMT+1
•
Maryam Sinaiee
Unveiled in wartime, targeted in peacetime?
100%
Unveiled woman at a pro-government wartime rally, March 2026

Many Iranians fear that a diplomatic opening with the United States could come at the cost of renewed social restrictions at home, as reports of stricter hijab enforcement begin circulating following the recent war.

Over recent days, social media users have voiced concern that a period of relative tolerance toward personal freedoms may be coming to an end.

With the immediate external crisis easing and further negotiations with Washington expected, many fear authorities could once again shift their focus to domestic social controls.

There has been no official announcement confirming the return of the morality police. But reports circulating online suggest increased scrutiny of hijab compliance in several cities, particularly the religious centers of Qom and Mashhad, although many of the incidents remain difficult to independently verify.

One widely shared video, which users say was filmed in the holy city of Qom, appears to show male and female officers attempting to persuade a young woman to enter a white van resembling those previously used by the so-called morality police.

In a separate video reportedly filmed in Mashhad, a police officer is seen confronting a young woman riding as a passenger on a motorcycle, telling her to buy a headscarf from a nearby shop before continuing her journey.

Another video from Tehran shows an argument between a young woman and several men. One tells her she has no right to appear without a head covering because it is against the law, while others threaten to call the police.

Optional, or is it?

Social media users have also reported visits by the Public Venues Supervision Office, the police body responsible for monitoring businesses, to inspect compliance with hijab regulations in companies, cafés and restaurants.

"They say hijab has become optional," one user wrote. "It's true that the way we dress has completely changed, both in the street and at work. But during these days of negotiations officials came to inspect our workplace over hijab.

"Imagine the anxiety in a company where most employees are women without hijab, fearing the business could be sealed because of them."

The legal rights group Dadban said reports from different parts of Iran suggested security, law enforcement and judicial institutions had once again increased their focus on domestic social control.

"Measures taken in recent weeks, from intensified street enforcement to growing pressure on citizens, point to the return of this approach," the group said.

"It appears that, following the reduction of external tensions, the responsible institutions have once again prioritized internal control and restricting individual and social freedoms."

Wartime tolerance, post-war uncertainty

During the war, state media and some officials openly welcomed the participation of unveiled women in pro-government gatherings. Images of women without head coverings were broadcast on state television, breaking with longstanding editorial practice.

At one gathering, organizers even projected a performance by a Lebanese female singer onto a large screen, challenging the state's longstanding ban on solo female singing.

Those departures from established norms unsettled many hardline supporters of the Islamic Republic. Now, with a memorandum signed with the United States and the prospect of further negotiations ahead, some Iranians fear authorities could seek to reassure conservative constituencies by tightening social controls once again.

Others worry that radical groups could feel emboldened to intervene directly under the principle of "enjoining good and forbidding wrong," a religious doctrine frequently invoked to justify policing perceived moral violations.

"After an agreement, what can their street forces do?" one social media user wrote. "Will they once again be unleashed on the public over hijab and other issues? A confrontation between society and the state lies ahead."

Another predicted authorities would intensify hijab enforcement and close cafés to appease conservatives opposed to rapprochement with Washington.

Political scientist Morteza Nemati urged caution over reports of the morality police's return but highlighted what he saw as an irony.

"I don't know how accurate the reports about relaunching the morality police are," he wrote on X. "But if you do bring them back, please be careful not to accidentally arrest the same unveiled women whose images you were showing at the nighttime rallies."

US sanctions waiver could bring Iran's oil trade out of the shadows

Jun 25, 2026, 08:03 GMT+1
•
Umud Shokri
US sanctions waiver could bring Iran's oil trade out of the shadows
100%

The United States' new Iran sanctions waiver could do more than boost Iranian oil exports. It may also help shift Iranian energy trade from shadow networks back toward conventional global markets.

On June 22, 2026, the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) issued General License X (GL X), authorizing the production, delivery and sale of Iranian-origin crude oil, petroleum products and petrochemicals through August 21, 2026.

Though temporary, the measure represents one of the broadest sanctions waivers for Iran's energy sector in years.

Unlike earlier authorizations, GL X goes well beyond the sale of oil itself. It temporarily authorizes a range of transactions ordinarily prohibited under several Iran sanctions programs, including the Iranian Transactions and Sanctions Regulations and the Iranian Financial Sanctions Regulations. It also covers certain transactions involving blocked vessels, provided they fall within the license's authorized purpose.

Most importantly, the license explicitly authorizes many of the services required to move oil through global markets, including shipping, insurance, vessel management, registration, flagging, bunkering, piloting, emergency repairs, environmental protection and salvage. It also covers Iranian-origin products produced by sanctioned Iranian entities.

Unlike General License U, issued in March 2026, which focused primarily on Iranian-origin crude already loaded aboard vessels, GL X addresses the broader ecosystem required for energy trade. By covering production, shipping, insurance, payments and maritime services, it creates a temporary legal framework for activities that sanctions had largely pushed into opaque and costly networks.

Lowering risks

For years, US sanctions have discouraged participation by the wider network of companies that make energy trade possible. Insurers, ship managers, flag registries and port operators have faced significant legal and financial risks for handling Iranian cargoes.

GL X reduces that uncertainty by creating a temporary safe harbor for activities ordinarily incident and necessary to authorized Iranian energy trade.

Oil exports depend on an entire commercial chain. A vessel must be insured, classified, flagged, crewed, fueled, managed and serviced. Ports must be willing to receive it, banks must process payments, and traders must believe transactions will not expose them to future enforcement.

By explicitly covering many of these activities, GL X could lower transaction costs, expand routing options and reduce reliance on ship-to-ship transfers and the shadow fleet that has sustained much of Iran's oil trade under sanctions.

For years, sanctions did not stop Iranian exports so much as redirect them into an expensive ecosystem of intermediaries, aging tankers and opaque financial arrangements. GL X offers a temporary path back to more conventional commercial practices rather than simply increasing export volumes.

The benefits for Iran could be significant. The license provides greater flexibility to export crude oil, condensates, petroleum products and petrochemicals while potentially reducing the sanctions-related discounts often demanded by buyers. The authorization of US dollar-denominated payments may also simplify settlement, although banks are likely to remain cautious.

Markets and diplomacy

For energy markets, the significance of GL X lies as much in reduced legal uncertainty as in any immediate increase in Iranian exports. By making conventional trade temporarily possible, the waiver could lower geopolitical risk premiums even before additional barrels reach the market.

Oil remains the backbone of Iran's economy and its principal source of hard currency. Restoring more conventional access to global markets therefore gives Tehran a strong incentive to preserve the current diplomatic opening and pursue a more durable agreement.

The waiver also reflects a pragmatic US approach that balances sanctions enforcement with market stability. Rather than lifting sanctions outright, Washington has created a limited authorization that gives negotiators flexibility while providing markets with a temporary period of clarity.

Chinese and Indian refiners, already among the largest buyers of Iranian crude, may be best positioned to respond quickly. Other firms, particularly those exposed to multiple sanctions regimes, are likely to move more cautiously.

Caveats

Despite its breadth, GL X is not a repeal of sanctions. It remains temporary, expires on August 21 unless extended, and applies only to transactions that fall within its scope.

Companies will still need extensive due diligence covering cargo origin, counterparties, vessel status, payment channels and sanctions exclusions.

Banks may prove the biggest constraint. Even when transactions are legally authorized, many financial institutions apply conservative internal compliance standards and may hesitate because of reputational concerns or uncertainty over whether the license will be be renewed. Shipowners and insurers may adopt similar caution, particularly where contracts extend beyond the license period.

Multilateral sanctions also remain relevant. The European Union, United Kingdom and other jurisdictions maintain their own Iran-related restrictions, which GL X does not override. Firms operating across multiple jurisdictions will therefore require separate legal assessments, limiting the likelihood of an immediate return by major Western energy companies, insurers or banks.

The future of GL X will depend on the broader trajectory of US-Iran relations. If negotiations falter, the license could simply expire. If diplomacy advances, it could become a bridge toward broader sanctions relief.

GL X is best understood not as a simple waiver for Iranian oil but as a temporary attempt to normalize the commercial infrastructure surrounding Iran's energy exports.

Ultimately, the impact of GL X will depend less on the license itself than on whether banks, insurers, shipping companies, traders and refiners are willing to re-enter Iranian trade. Their decisions will be shaped as much by political confidence as by legal authorization.

For now, it represents one of the most consequential Iran-related sanctions measures in recent years—not simply because it permits oil sales, but because it temporarily restores much of the legal architecture required to conduct them.

President's economic reality check fuels Iran's US deal debate

Jun 25, 2026, 00:47 GMT+1
•
Maryam Sinaiee
President's economic reality check fuels Iran's US deal debate
100%
President Masoud Pezeshkian showing his copy of the MoU signed remotely with President Donald Trump. June 17, 2026

President Masoud Pezeshkian's unusually blunt remarks about Iran's economic crisis have intensified infighting over Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's position on the US-Iran agreement.

The dispute centers on a written message attributed to Khamenei outlining his position on the Memorandum of Understanding.

In the message, Khamenei wrote: "In principle, I had a different view, but because of the commitment that the President, as head of the Supreme National Security Council, gave on behalf of himself and the council members regarding safeguarding the rights of the Iranian nation and the Resistance Front, and because they explicitly accepted responsibility for it, I authorized it."

Hardliners, including parliamentarian Hamid Rasaei and former MP Kamran Ghazanfari, accused Pezeshkian, parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and their allies of effectively staging a "coup" against the Supreme Leader.

'A devastated economy'

The dispute spilled into public view when attendees at an official event shouted that Pezeshkian's government should adhere to the "principles" referenced by Khamenei.

"The principle is justice. The principle is serving the people. The principle is honesty," Pezeshkian responded.

"For 40 to 50 days, we could not export a single barrel of oil from the Persian Gulf," he said. "They have devastated our economy, and many young people have become unemployed. Our young people have no hope for the future. We have to pay benefits to the unemployed and we cannot collect taxes. You tell me, where is the money supposed to come from?"

Pezeshkian also revealed that the government had diverted $20 million in oil-export revenues that would normally have gone into the state budget to the IRGC Aerospace Force to procure military equipment.

"If we had not supported the IRGC, our armed forces would not have been able to fight."

He added that he was withholding further details in the interest of national unity, saying he had much more to say but preferred not to disclose it.

Institutional backing

Pezeshkian's remarks also suggested growing confidence that key power centers continue to back the agreement despite mounting criticism from hardliners.

According to the president, the memorandum was approved by the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) with the backing of the country's most senior commanders from both the regular army and the Revolutionary Guards.

Further evidence emerged on Tuesday when Sobh-e Sadegh, the weekly publication of the IRGC's political office, reported that Saeed Jalili—an SNSC member and a longstanding opponent of talks with Washington—had sought to clarify the leader's position.

According to the report, Jalili said Khamenei's statement was not opposition to negotiations but to Tehran's negotiating approach and certain provisions of the memorandum. He reportedly also said those who voted for the agreement in the council could not be accused of acting against the leadership.

His remarks echoed those of IRGC political chief Yadollah Javani, who said on Monday that the negotiations had been conducted with Khamenei's permission and according to the conditions he had set.

"The interpretation by some that the phrase 'in principle' signifies opposition to negotiations with the United States is incorrect," Javani said.

Competing readings

Iranian newspapers have offered sharply different interpretations of the controversy.

The government newspaper Iran argued that the Supreme Leader's message emphasized "responsibility, commitment, effort, and concern" on the part of government officials.

"The Leader's message was about the government's responsibility," it wrote, "but in part of the political sphere it became a tool for intensifying attacks on the government."

The conservative Khorasan newspaper argued that the message sought to balance three principles: maintaining the Islamic Republic's stance toward US hostility, conditionally accepting the outcome of the official decision-making process and demanding accountability from those implementing the memorandum.

It added that, in political and jurisprudential reasoning, the phrase "in principle" refers to a general rule that can admit exceptions under special circumstances.

Not all conservative voices defended the government. In an editorial titled Mr. President, the Enemy Can Hear You Too, the conservative website Alef criticized Pezeshkian for repeatedly discussing Iran's economic difficulties in public.

One reader commented: "Saying that not even a single barrel of oil was exported because of the US blockade, or that all military officials supported the memorandum, does not send a good message to the enemy."

Debate spills onto social media

Social media reflected the same divide. Supporters praised Pezeshkian's candor, while critics renewed accusations that he was attempting to pressure the Supreme Leader into accepting the agreement.

One supporter wrote: "Pezeshkian is completely right. You cannot run a country without money. We have to face reality."

A critic responded on X: "Standing against the Leader and then blaming everything on the Leader and the system is not called courage."

The dispute increasingly appears to be less about the memorandum itself than about who gets to define Khamenei's position. As negotiations with Washington move forward, competing factions are seeking to claim the leader's authority either to legitimize the agreement or to constrain those implementing it.