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Iran could hold out four months under US blockade - CIA assessment

May 8, 2026, 21:43 GMT+1

Efforts to end the war between the United States and Iran appeared to stall on Friday as fighting intensified in the Persian Gulf, while a US intelligence assessment concluded Iran could withstand a naval blockade for up to four months, Reuters reported.

The CIA assessment also concluded that the US bombing campaign of Iran, hailed as a success by US President Donald Trump, has failed to force Iran’s leadership to capitulate, according to a US official familiar with the analysis, which was first reported by the Washington Post.

The analysis suggested the conflict may not end soon, despite Trump’s efforts to bring it to a close, which has faced political pressure at home.

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