Iran’s nuclear file needs more consultations in 2025, says Araghchi in China

“I repeatedly advised the Syrian government, the foreign minister, and even Bashar al-Assad himself to enter into negotiations with Turkey. However, the Syrian government and Mr. Assad were not in favor of negotiating—whether with the opposition or with Turkey," Abbas Araghchi said in an interview with Egypt's Al-Ghad network. The interview took place last week when Araghchi was in Cairo for an economic event, but its text was published on Friday.

“Regarding Turkey, Assad believed that he would not engage in talks with them until their forces withdrew from Syrian territory, questioning how it would be possible to negotiate with a country that had occupied his land,” he added.

Araghchi noted that while Iran provided advice on dealing with Syria’s people, neighbors, and opposition groups, Damascus maintained its independence in decision-making. “The Syrian government acted independently, and we were merely friends offering counsel.”

Earlier this week, Syria’s new foreign minister warned Iran not to destabilize the country's fragile calm after a call by Iran’s Supreme Leader for Syrian youth to rise up against the new Sunni Islamist rulers.

"In the current situation, the Americans will likely attempt to amplify certain internal issues,” General Mojtaba Fada said on Thursday, referring to a host of domestic problems, chief among them the deteriorating economy.

Iran’s currency, the rial, has fallen by more than 30% since August and with cold weather arriving, the government has been unable to provide electricity on regular basis. The dollar has risen from 600,000 rials to around 800,000, while the British pound has surpassed one million rials. In power supply, current estimates point to a 30% daily deficit, which results in rolling blackouts, idling many industries.

“The issue of energy imbalances is not exclusive to the current administration; it has also existed during Mr. Raisi’s government and previous administrations. Therefore, some individuals within the country should avoid signaling to the Americans through their analyses,” Fada said, referring to a wave of criticism on social media. Even the state-controlled print media has become more outspoken about the closure of hundreds of factories and rising cost of living.

Iran relies heavily on imports for wheat, rice, and other essential goods. As the rial continues to depreciate against major currencies, the cost of imports has risen sharply, placing a greater burden on ordinary citizens. The monthly salaries of workers, when calculated in US dollars, have fallen from $200 last summer to approximately $130 this winter.

Iranian social media reflects a growing sense of crisis in the country and possible political unrest, as the Islamic government is seen defeated in the broader region and weakened at home.

General Fada told his audience on Thursday, “All citizens and officials have a duty to defend the Islamic government in the current situation. We have stood firm for 45 years for the Islamic Revolution of Iran, and we must continue to endure hardships, tolerate criticism, and bear the pain for its sake.”

Among those executed, 772 were male, 26 were female and 5 were juvenile offenders at the time of their alleged crimes. Just over half of the executions were allegedly related to drug-related charges followed by murder charges at around 40%.

The report said that 94% of these executions were carried out in secrecy and without public notice. Additionally, the issuance of death sentences rose by a third compared to the previous year.

Last year Iran executed 853 people according to rights group Amnesty International.

Iran’s foreign ministry spokesman, Esmaeil Baghaei, described the strikes as a "clear violation of international peace and security."

Hamas echoed this condemnation, calling the Israeli airstrikes a "brutal terrorist aggression" targeting civilian sites, including Sanaa Airport and the port of Hodeida.

Hezbollah said the attacks were carried out in coordination with British and American forces and aimed at civilian and economic sites.

The group called it "a blatant violation of international law and a continuation of the enemy's wars against the peoples of the region," according to Al Mayadeen.

Their calls come as costs of living mount and the country faces huge external pressure in the form of military setbacks and renewed sanctions under Donald Trump.

Referring to a 15-point action plan for greater social and economic freedoms, Khatami warned on Thursday that “Iran is in a critical situation“.

Adopting the plan would ensure "the country does not fall into chaos and conflict, to prevent, in my view, an overthrow, while also avoiding self-overthrow," Khatami said.

The former president from 1997 to 2005, rarely comments so stridently on vital policy matters and is out of favor with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei - the ultimate decider of foreign and domestic policy.

"If no action is taken to improve people’s lives and strengthen hope for change, we will all suffer,” he added.

Khatami and other Reformists have often been caught between the need for change and the constraints imposed by Iran’s conservative political structure.

Their history of seeking to improve the system only for the Islamic Republic to resort to harsher crackdowns and fail to deliver on promises has stoked criticism.

Khatami, who has long been a de facto leader for Iran’s Reformist camp, also called for a return to the ideals of the 1979 revolution, including republicanism, which he argued had been sidelined by the current political order.

“If we have deviated from this goal, what peaceful and fair measures can be taken to bring all—parties, factions, society, and governance—back to republicanism?” he said.

His remarks reflect an ongoing struggle within Iran’s political elite: how to balance the need for reform with the preservation of the Islamic Republic’s fundamental structure, which has been increasingly threatened by internal and external challenges.

Hassan Khomeini and the struggle for hope

Hassan Khomeini, the grandson of the founder of the Islamic Republic, weighed in on the depressed mood in Iran, expressing concern about the erosion of popular hope.

“The enemies have targeted the people’s hope,” he said in a Thursday speech. “If they kill our hope, we are dead; every nation lives through hope.”

Khomeini has emerged as another figure in the Reformist camp, though he has carefully avoided directly criticizing Khamenei’s policies.

“Despair is the plague of human activity ... even in difficult situations, people of faith must not fall into despair,” Khomeini’s said.

The message has found some resonance, especially in the context of mounting public frustration.

Need for popular support

Azar Mansouri, another prominent Reformist and head of the Islamic Iran Participation Front, also weighed in on the troubled state of the nation, urging national unity.

Speaking at the party’s 10th Congress, Mansouri called for prudence in the face of Iran’s increasing regional and international isolation, particularly with the second act for a Trump administration that has promised a renewed policy of maximum pressure.

“In the current situation, where regional problems for Iran have increased on one hand, and on the other, someone with a history of anti-Iranian policies and maximum pressure is sitting in the US presidency, it is crucial to understand these increasingly complex and challenging conditions,” Mansouri said.

“A strong and dignified presence on the international stage requires the government to have the solid backing of public satisfaction and support,” Mansouri added.

Her call contrasts with the reality of dwindling voter turnout and increasing disillusionment with the political system.

In the 2017, 2021, 2024 elections, voter turnout plummeted, with the 2024 presidential election seeing one of the lowest turnouts in the history of the Islamic Republic. The sense of disengagement from the electorate is palpable, and many Reformists like Mansouri have failed to confront the root causes of the apathy.

As Iran teeters on the edge of deeper political and economic turmoil, the reformists’ calls for change are framed within a difficult paradox: they are both critics and, detractors would argue, enablers of the system they now warn is endangered.

While figures like Khatami, Khomeini and Mansouri continue to push for reform, they are part of a system that has shown little interest in the transformation they advocate.

Reformists and their history of saving the system

While the Reformists are now sounding alarms about Iran’s future, they have historically played a key role in stabilizing the Islamic Republic amid crises.

Khatami’s own presidency was marked by a push for political freedoms and better relations with the West. However, the real turning point came in the post-2009 period, when the Reformists once again rallied behind the system to prevent it from falling.

In 2013, they threw their support behind Hassan Rouhani in the presidential election, hoping he would bring economic relief and mend ties abroad.

Yet after Rouhani’s election, Iran saw little of the promised change. The nuclear deal, which was heralded as a diplomatic breakthrough, quickly unraveled after Trump pulled out.

Under Rouhani, Iran also faced the worst economic crisis in decades, fueled by US sanctions. The Reformists, instead of challenging the system’s hardline approach, largely supported policies that allowed the establishment to remain in power.

This culminated in the suppression of multiple waves of protest, such as in November 2019, when hundreds were killed by security forces during demonstrations against rising fuel prices.

While the reformists may have temporarily stabilized the system in the past, they have also been a party to its failures.

Iran is currently grappling with an intense economic crisis, as the value of the US dollar has surged past 800,000 rials, exacerbating inflation and eroding the purchasing power of ordinary citizens.

The country is facing severe energy shortages, with power outages and gas supply cuts becoming more frequent, leading to the disruption of business and daily life.

Pollution levels are escalating, intensifying the already dire health challenges.

Meanwhile, skyrocketing prices for basic goods, including food and medicine, are placing immense pressure on households, pushing many to the brink of poverty.