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INSIGHT

Against restraint: Iran's hardliners rewrite the rules of confrontation

Behrouz Turani
Behrouz Turani

Iran International

Jul 14, 2026, 08:11 GMT+1
Mourners sit beneath a banner depicting US President Donald Trump, with a bullet aimed at his portrait and the slogan, "We have a blood feud with America," during funeral ceremonies for former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Ahvaz, southern Iran, July 9, 2026
Mourners sit beneath a banner depicting US President Donald Trump, with a bullet aimed at his portrait and the slogan, "We have a blood feud with America," during funeral ceremonies for former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Ahvaz, southern Iran, July 9, 2026

As renewed fighting pushes Iran and the United States away from diplomacy and back toward full-scale confrontation, influential hardline voices in Tehran are openly arguing that political assassination and a more aggressive foreign policy are both justified and necessary.

The revenge-laden rhetoric that dominated the week-long mourning ceremonies for former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is rapidly evolving into something broader.

State media have published images depicting not only US officials but also European leaders, including France’s Emmanuel Macron and Italy’s Giorgia Meloni, as targets.

On Monday, July 13, Ali Mahdian, a hardline seminarian and academic associated with the late Ayatollah Mohammad-Taqi Mesbah Yazdi, the ideological father of the ultraconservative Paydari Front, went further still, seeking to provide a religious justification for political assassination.

Writing in the Tehran municipality’s daily Hamshahri, Mahdian presented the killing of Western leaders and those he held responsible for the deaths of senior Iranian figures not as terrorism but as a “divine mission.”

Citing Ayatollah Khomeini’s fatwa against author Salman Rushdie, he rejected the argument that a sovereign state should not engage in targeted killings. Referring to remarks by Quds Force commander Esmail Qaani, Mahdian even suggested that an actor inside the United States might carry out such an attack.

“This is a global wrath… an era in which the head of Satan must be cut off,” he concluded with an apocalyptic call to action. “Everyone must help: scholars, clerics, preachers, speakers, broadcasters, channel writers, officials, Iranians, Iraqis, everyone.”

The significance lies less in the practicality of his appeal than in how openly such arguments are now being advanced in an established state newspaper.

Late last week, US forces resumed strikes on Iranian military infrastructure, while Iran retaliated against American bases across the Persian Gulf. President Donald Trump announced a renewed blockade of Iranian shipping, saying the United States would keep the Strait of Hormuz open.

Tehran, meanwhile, says transit through the strait is no longer possible because of US military action and insists it retains control over the strategic waterway, while threatening further retaliation.

The same day, Kayhan offered a strategic counterpart to Mahdian’s theological argument.

In a commentary by Alireza Mashouri, introduced as a scholar of international relations, the newspaper called for Iran to abandon its longstanding policy of “strategic patience” in favour of what he termed “offensive diplomacy.”

“When a state exercises restraint, enemies do not see it as moral high ground or peace-loving nature; they calculate it as a lack of capability or will to respond,” he wrote.

Mashouri argued that Iran’s year of compliance after the US withdrawal from the 2015 nuclear deal convinced its adversaries that Tehran lacked the will to respond, paving the way for “maximum pressure,” targeted assassinations and progressively bolder military attacks.

“In global politics, there is no such thing as a moral ledger where a state is rewarded later for its past good behavior,” Mashouri wrote. “This does not mean starting a war; it means making the cost of aggression real for the enemy.”

None of this necessarily means that Tehran has adopted political assassination or uncontrolled escalation as formal policy.

Iran has a long history of violence against opposition figures and regional adversaries, but public appeals for the killing of sitting Western leaders represent a notable escalation in the language emerging from influential hardline circles.

More significant than the rhetoric itself may be the erosion of the political and ideological case for restraint. As US and Iranian forces exchange attacks and the dispute over Hormuz becomes another front in the war, hardline voices increasingly portray negotiation not as a means of protecting Iran but as proof of weakness.

What began as funeral rhetoric is becoming something more consequential: an argument that the era of strategic patience is over, and that peace now demands a justification war no longer does.

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Iran risks its most valuable Arab partner over Hormuz

Jul 14, 2026, 04:12 GMT+1
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Iran's attack on facilities supporting US naval operations in Oman has plunged relations with one of Tehran's closest regional partners into their deepest crisis in decades, turning a dispute over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz into a direct military confrontation.

Relations deteriorated sharply after Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) said they had launched a "heavy and surprise attack" on logistical support facilities and aircraft carrier refueling infrastructure at the Omani port of Duqm on Sunday.

Oman condemned what it described as "irresponsible acts" and summoned Iran's ambassador in protest, marking a dramatic deterioration in relations between the two countries.

The military escalation appears to have followed the collapse of negotiations over a proposed framework for managing maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

Read the full article hrere.

Iran risks its most valuable Arab partner over Hormuz

Jul 14, 2026, 02:56 GMT+1
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Maryam Sinaiee
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi meets Sultan of Oman Haitham bin Tariq Al Said at Al Baraka Palace in Muscat, Oman, April 26, 2026.

Iran's attack on facilities supporting US naval operations in Oman has plunged relations with one of Tehran's closest regional partners into their deepest crisis in decades, turning a dispute over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz into a direct military confrontation.

Relations deteriorated sharply after Iran's Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) said they had launched a "heavy and surprise attack" on logistical support facilities and aircraft carrier refueling infrastructure at the Omani port of Duqm on Sunday.

Oman condemned what it described as "irresponsible acts" and summoned Iran's ambassador in protest, marking a dramatic deterioration in relations between the two countries.

The military escalation appears to have followed the collapse of negotiations over a proposed framework for managing maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.

According to a CNN report, Oman proposed maintaining the existing system for vessels using the southern shipping lane through Omani territorial waters. Ships entering Iranian territorial waters, however, would require Tehran's approval, though they would not pay transit fees.

The proposal appears to have fallen short of Tehran's broader ambition to assert greater authority over traffic through the strategic waterway, including a reported plan to charge ships for "management services."

Iranian officials confirmed that such discussions had taken place.

Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said he had discussed “management of the Strait of Hormuz and maritime traffic" with Omani counterpart Badr Albusaidi. Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei later confirmed the talks had failed, blaming US pressure on Oman.

"Our effort was to reach, through consultations with Oman, a mechanism that would ensure the safe passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Unfortunately, because of overt and covert US pressure on Oman, this was not achieved," he said.

Tehran hardens its position

The collapse of negotiations was followed by increasingly confrontational rhetoric from Iranian military officials and hardline politicians.

On Tuesday, the spokesman for Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters warned that Iran's armed forces would respond forcefully to "any disruption or insecurity affecting commercial vessels and oil tankers by the US military outside the routes designated by Iran and without authorization from the armed forces."

He also warned regional states that "any cooperation with the United States and logistical support for its military will be regarded as a war against Iran's sovereignty and national security," adding that any wider conflict would engulf the region.

Ali Khezriyan, a member of parliament's National Security Committee, declared that Iran would pursue control of the Strait of Hormuz "with or without Oman." He warned that if Muscat failed to cooperate or secretly assisted Iran's adversaries, "its territory will not be safe from Iranian missiles."

Other lawmakers echoed the message. Ebrahim Rezaei said Oman should recognize Iran as the region's dominant power, while Mahmoud Nabavian argued that the IRGC should impose "exclusive management" of the strait, rejecting any arrangement requiring Iran to share authority with Oman.

Beyond Hormuz

Analysts suggested the confrontation extends well beyond the immediate military exchange.

Middle East analyst Ahmad Taqaddosi noted that Duqm sits on the Arabian Sea, outside the Strait of Hormuz, allowing US naval vessels to dock, refuel and undergo maintenance without entering the Gulf. Under a 2019 agreement, the United States has access to both Duqm and Salalah.

"From this perspective, Iran's claimed attack targeted not merely a port but part of the US Navy's operational rear base in the northern Indian Ocean," he wrote.

Energy analyst Abdollah Babakhani argued that the dispute ultimately reflects Tehran's fear of losing strategic leverage.

"Any mechanism that creates a permanent and independent route through Omani waters for the bulk of global energy trade could, over the long term, reduce Iran's geopolitical weight in Hormuz," he wrote, arguing that restoring the traditional shared shipping corridor would better preserve Iran's strategic position.

Debate inside Iran

Hardliners argued that allowing unrestricted passage through Omani waters while requiring authorization only for ships entering Iranian waters would surrender Tehran's leverage, insisting that management of the Strait of Hormuz must remain exclusively in Iranian hands.

Critics countered that Oman has long served as one of Tehran's most important diplomatic intermediaries.

One moderate commentator wrote: "The Strait of Hormuz is not our exclusive property. Oman's territorial waters are part of it, and Oman's wishes must also be respected. Claiming absolute control is adventurism and folly."

Others warned that another regional war could leave Tehran simultaneously alienating its own population, undermining relations with mediators such as Oman and Pakistan, and weakening its strategic position in the strait.

The confrontation leaves Tehran facing a strategic paradox. Its effort to convert military leverage in Hormuz into political control over regional shipping has pushed it into conflict with one of its closest Gulf partners while encouraging alternatives to the very influence it is trying to preserve.

Diplomacy fades as US and Iran escalate over Hormuz

Jul 13, 2026, 03:40 GMT+1
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Vessels at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 22, 2026.

Hopes that the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the United States could evolve into a broader deal appeared increasingly remote on Monday as both sides carried out fresh strikes and clashed over control of the Strait of Hormuz.

The latest escalation saw the United States widen its attacks to dozens of locations across several Iranian provinces. While many of the reports could not be independently verified, they suggested a broader operational scope than in recent days.

US Central Command announced another round of strikes aimed at degrading Iran's ability to threaten commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important oil transit route.

State-affiliated Iranian media later claimed Tehran had launched extensive missile and drone attacks against US bases and vessels across the region.

Nour News, which is close to Iran's Supreme National Security Council, reported that the attacks had begun, while Sabereen News said several ballistic missiles had been fired from western and central Iran toward US military positions.

Bahrain's Interior Ministry subsequently activated air raid sirens and urged residents to avoid using or obstructing main roads unless necessary, adding that further safety instructions would follow.

A CENTCOM spokesperson told Al Jazeera that Iranian Revolutionary Guards forces had fired at commercial shipping in the strait, adding that US aircraft shot down an Iranian cruise missile and a one-way attack drone. Tehran has not confirmed those claims.

The maritime confrontation remained at the center of the escalation.

Iran continued to insist that the waterway remains under its control. Senior military officials said all foreign naval movements in the strait were under continuous surveillance and warned that no vessel would be allowed to enter Iranian territorial waters unlawfully.

In a strongly worded statement, Iran's Foreign Ministry accused the United States of violating both the memorandum of understanding and the UN Charter, saying American attacks over the past 24 hours had targeted transportation infrastructure, commercial shipping, cargo vessels and aviation facilities.

The ministry also accused Washington of pressuring Oman to undermine Iranian arrangements for managing shipping through Hormuz and warned Persian Gulf states against allowing their territory to be used for attacks on Iran.

It said the source of any attack on Iranian territory would be regarded as a legitimate target for retaliation.

The renewed military activity also rattled global markets.

Brent crude rose more than three percent in Asian trading as investors priced in the risk of prolonged disruption around Hormuz, through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supplies normally pass.

Regional governments appeared increasingly uneasy as the confrontation widened.

Iraq called for restraint and warned against actions that could endanger maritime navigation. Qatari officials, who had been attempting to preserve a diplomatic channel between Tehran and Washington, remained engaged with Iranian counterparts, although there was little indication mediation efforts were gaining traction.

Only days ago, officials on both sides continued to speak publicly about diplomacy. President Donald Trump said Iran had asked to continue talks and that Washington remained prepared to negotiate, while US officials described technical discussions as ongoing despite repeated violations of the ceasefire.

Those diplomatic signals now appear increasingly overshadowed by events on the ground.

Rather than serving as a bridge toward a broader agreement, the memorandum of understanding has become another point of contention, with each side accusing the other of violating its terms.

Can Tehran seek revenge and negotiate with Washington?

Jul 13, 2026, 00:22 GMT+1
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Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s renewed call for revenge over his father’s killing has emboldened hardliners demanding concrete action, while raising questions over how such threats can be reconciled with Tehran’s stated openness to diplomacy.

In a message issued after the burial of former supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei described retaliation for his father’s death in a February 28 airstrike as “a national demand”, adding that it “will most certainly be carried out.”

Judiciary chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei, recently reappointed by Khamenei for another five-year term, immediately welcomed the declaration that revenge for his slain father was inevitable.

“We will pursue and punish the murderers of the martyred Imam,” he wrote on X.

Read the full article here.

Can Tehran seek revenge and negotiate with Washington?

Jul 12, 2026, 22:07 GMT+1
•
Maryam Sinaiee
100%
A mourner holds a poster showing US President Donald Trump in crosshairs with the words “There will be blood” during funeral ceremonies for Ali Khamenei in Mashahd, Iran, July 9, 2026

Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s renewed call for revenge over his father’s killing has emboldened hardliners demanding concrete action, while raising questions over how such threats can be reconciled with Tehran’s stated openness to diplomacy.

In a message issued after the burial of former supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei described retaliation for his father’s death in a February 28 airstrike as “a national demand”, adding that it “will most certainly be carried out.”

Judiciary chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei, recently reappointed by Khamenei for another five-year term, immediately welcomed the declaration that revenge for his slain father was inevitable.

“We will pursue and punish the murderers of the martyred Imam,” he wrote on X.

Former IRGC commander Mohsen Rezaei, now a military adviser to the supreme leader, said US president Donal Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had crossed the Islamic Republic’s “red lines” and “must be met with decisive and proportionate punishment.”

“Revenge is part of the path of the Revolution,” he added.

The declaration revived a contradiction at the heart of Iranian policy: whether Tehran can negotiate with Washington while presenting revenge against its president as a national or religious obligation.

Hours before Khamenei’s message, Trump said 1,000 US missiles were “locked and loaded” and aimed at Iran, with thousands more ready to follow if the Iranian government acted on threats to kill him.

The message also intensified pressure on officials viewed as favouring engagement with Washington.

Some hardline commentators portrayed it as drawing a clear line between the supreme leader and supporters of negotiations, while others complained that senior officials and institutions had been slow to endorse it publicly.

President Masoud Pezeshkian had earlier affirmed Iran’s right to avenge what he called the “historic crime,” while Parliament Speaker and chief negotiator Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf said those responsible would face justice.

Neither had publicly commented on Khamenei’s latest message at the time of writing.

Former nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili said avenging Khamenei would be “a defence of every nation’s sovereignty” and “the greatest service to international law.”

Hardline political activist Ahmad Ghadiri argued that advocating Trump’s assassination fundamentally contradicts negotiations with Washington.

Amir Chizari, a political activist close to Ghalibaf, disagreed. He maintained that the obligation to seek revenge, which he said Khamenei had imposed on all Muslims, “does not contradict the negotiations that have taken place so far.”

Reformist journalist Ahmad Zeidabadi questioned the logic of pursuing both tracks simultaneously.

“Those who say Iran should negotiate and reach an agreement with the United States while at the same time planning to cut off Trump’s head, or demanding his extradition to Iran to be killed, what framework of political or practical logic are they following?” he wrote.

Some hardline figures called for the rhetoric to be translated into action.

Political analyst Ehsan Salehi told Hamshahri’s online television channel that security agencies should establish dedicated units to carry out revenge operations.

“The word ‘revenge’ is neither ambiguous nor open to interpretation,” he said. “It has a clear meaning: punishing and eliminating the killers. It cannot be diluted into harmless slogans or symbolic projects.”

Salehi argued that a stronger response to the US killing of Qasem Soleimani in 2020 might have deterred subsequent attacks.

Cleric Mohammad Fayyazi said Khamenei’s declaration had effectively made revenge official policy and urged the government to endorse it formally, without what he called “pointless diplomatic considerations.”

The debate exposed broader disagreements over Iran’s priorities.

The news website Rouydad24 argued that while parts of the political and military establishment consider revenge the country’s foremost objective, others see the deteriorating economy and declining public trust as the more immediate threats.

It warned that becoming trapped in “a vicious cycle of emotional decisions” could bring tougher sanctions, greater economic hardship and deeper domestic discontent.

One reformist-leaning user argued that revenge also required the capacity to carry it out.

“A country that could not guarantee the security of its late leader, and cannot fully guarantee the security of its current leader, should first restore its own strength before thinking about revenge,” the user wrote. “Otherwise, the result will be no different from before.”

Religious scholar Saeed Sadoughi raised a more fundamental question.

“Suppose Trump and Netanyahu are gone and revenge is achieved. Will the country’s problems be solved?” he wrote. “Will issues such as high-level uranium enrichment and the Strait of Hormuz simply disappear? Will the country suddenly move towards development and prosperity?”