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Iran war slowing global economy growth - IMF

May 15, 2026, 02:13 GMT+1

The International Monetary Fund warned Thursday that continuing disruptions linked to the Iran war were pushing the global economy toward a more “adverse” scenario of weaker growth and rising inflation risks.

Last month, the IMF’s World Economic Outlook projected global growth of 3.1% in 2026 under its baseline scenario but cautioned that a prolonged conflict involving Iran could significantly worsen the outlook.

In its adverse scenario, the fund said persistently high oil prices, unstable inflation expectations and tighter financial conditions could slow global growth to 2.5%.

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