OPEC+ weighs output move as US-Iran tensions lift oil prices - Reuters

A video shared with Iran International shows a banner addressed to US President Donald Trump that reads in Persian, “You are a man of action, but each day of delay means dozens of executions.”

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  Iranians plead with Trump not to negotiate with the Islamic Republic

Esmail Kosari, a member of Iran’s parliament national security and foreign policy committee, said the United States should pull its naval forces out of the region.

“Americans must return their aircraft carriers and warships to their own territory,” he said, according to state media.

Kosari criticized what he called contradictory US statements on Iran’s nuclear program. “On the one hand they say Iran’s nuclear facilities were destroyed, and on the other they say Iran can reach its goal in a short time and must be stopped militarily,” he said, adding that such remarks were “nonsense.”

He said Iran remains prepared and warned that if the US takes military action, it would face a response.

Ali Shamkhani, a veteran security figure and long-time adviser to Iran’s Supreme Leader, has returned to a central role in shaping Tehran’s military and diplomatic strategy after surviving an Israeli strike last year, Reuters reported in a profile.

Reuters said Shamkhani, 70, was confirmed as secretary of Iran’s newly established Defence Council following the 2025 12-day war, placing him back at the core of security decision-making as tensions with the United States rise.

A former commander in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and ex-head of the Supreme National Security Council, Shamkhani has played roles in nuclear negotiations and regional diplomacy. In January, he warned on X that any US military action would be treated as the start of war and would draw what he called an “all out” response.

Reuters also noted that Shamkhani has been sanctioned by the United States over alleged links to networks moving sanctioned oil, allegations he has not publicly addressed.

Turkey is reviewing possible actions should tensions between neighboring Iran and the United States escalate into conflict, a Turkish diplomatic source told Reuters.

The source said Ankara was assessing different scenarios to protect its citizens in the event of a “negative development,” but stressed that any move that would breach Iran’s sovereignty was not being considered.

Turkey, which borders Iran and is a member of NATO, has said it opposes military intervention and favors a diplomatic solution. The Turkish presidency’s office for countering disinformation earlier rejected reports that Ankara was preparing to enter Iranian territory to prevent a possible refugee influx.

Weeks after the January 2026 protests, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has shown no indication that he intends to open dialogue with a restless public or adjust course in response to mounting domestic criticism.

On Tuesday, February 24, prominent moderate figure Saeed Hajjarian—long regarded as a key strategist of Iran’s reform movement—warned that the political system “has lost the ability to predict and prevent the waves of protest that continue to emerge one after another.”

He added that since 2021, Iranian presidents have effectively functioned as “chief executives for Khamenei.”

Former President Ebrahim Raisi described himself as the Supreme Leader’s “soldier,” while President Massoud Pezeshkian has repeatedly said he is in office to implement Khamenei’s policies.

According to Hajjarian, protest waves will persist “as long as the system remains incapable of tolerating reforms, even those emerging from within.” His remarks pointed to a deeper concern: not simply public anger, but institutional rigidity.

That rigidity, critics argue, extends beyond politics. Khamenei’s resistance to reform has long been evident, but more striking to some observers is the continued dismissal of economic warnings amid a worsening financial crisis.

Earlier in the week, the news website Fararu warned leaders about the growing fragmentation and polarization of Iranian society.

Rather than easing tensions, authorities deployed Basij forces to suppress student protests on university campuses, effectively placing groups of young Iranians in confrontation with one another.

Fararu cautioned that “polarization reduces the chances for dialogue and increases violence in society.” Without meaningful dialogue, it argued, opposing groups increasingly view one another as “enemies,” making disputes far more difficult to resolve.

Economic concerns have followed a similar pattern.

One of the latest warnings came from economist Hossein Raghfar. In an interview with Khabar Online, Raghfar argued that although the January protests had political dimensions, they were primarily driven by deepening economic hardship and government inefficiency.

Without naming Khamenei directly, he said: “The government is certainly responsible, but major decisions are made elsewhere,” referring to the Supreme Leader’s office. While acknowledging the government’s role, he added that “it is obvious that the entire responsibility does not rest with the government.”

Like many Iranian economists, Raghfar warned that removing subsidies on essential goods—and the unrest that followed—has left Iran weakened at a moment of heightened external pressure. Economic mismanagement, he argued, has pushed the country “to the brink of war” while fueling public dissent to unprecedented levels.

Despite earlier warnings going unheeded, Raghfar again urged authorities to avoid inflicting another shock on society by cutting subsidies on staples such as gasoline and bread to offset chronic budget deficits.

Taken together, the cautions from reformists and economists suggest a political system increasingly confronted with recurring unrest yet reluctant to recalibrate—even as social polarization deepens and economic strain intensifies.