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Iran boosts gas exports to Turkey despite deepening domestic shortages

Dalga Khatinoglu
Dalga Khatinoglu

Oil, gas and Iran economic analyst

Dec 3, 2025, 21:41 GMT+0Updated: 23:47 GMT+0
A platform bound for Iran's South Pars offshore gas field
A platform bound for Iran's South Pars offshore gas field

Despite facing a growing domestic gas deficit and widespread use of highly polluting fuel oil, Iran’s gas deliveries to Turkey have continued to surge according to official Turkish energy statistics.

Newly released data from Turkey’s Energy Market Regulatory Authority (EMRA), affiliated with the Ministry of Energy show that Iran supplied more than 5.5 billion cubic meters of gas to Turkey during the first nine months of 2025—17% more than in the same period last year and 45% higher compared to 2023.

Buffeted by stiff Western and international sanctions, Tehran appears to be seeking revenue from abroad even as it faces severe gas shortages at home.

A confidential Oil Ministry document obtained by Iran International in mid-2025 showed an annual jump by nearly half in fuel oil, or mazut, consumption last year.

This is despite its being one of the most polluting forms of fossil fuel on earth.

It is not yet clear how much mazut consumption has risen this year, but the deputy oil minister says Iran is expected to face a daily gas deficit of 300 million cubic meters during this winter’s peak demand. Last year, the shortfall was 250 million cubic meters; in 2023, it was about 200 million.

Bleak outlook

With the onset of cold weather and rising household gas demand across large parts of the country, industries and power plants have increasingly switched to burning mazut, causing dangerous air pollution in major cities including the capital Tehran.

A recent report by Iran’s Department of Environment on the mazut and diesel supplied to Tehran-area power plants shows sulfur content 10 to 100 times higher than international standards.

Had Iran halted its gas shipments to Turkey, the statistics show it could have reduced domestic fuel oil consumption by roughly 20 million liters per day, given that natural gas is the cleanest fossil fuel alternative.

Yet the Islamic Republic insists on maintaining its gas exports to Turkey and supplies roughly the same amount to Iraq.

Last year, Iran exported 15 billion cubic meters of gas, equivalent to 15 billion liters of mazut in energy content. If exports had been suspended, not only would Iran have avoided burning mazut domestically, it would have also saved 7 million liters of diesel per day.

Why does Iran have a gas shortage?

Part of Iran’s gas deficit stems from the slowdown in the development of gas production projects due to the government’s financial constraints and the limited technological capabilities of domestic oil companies.

Stiff Western and international sanctions have made updating the country's already creaky energy infrastructure yet more difficult.

For example, between 2010 and 2020, Iran’s gas output grew at an average annual rate of 5.2%, but growth has dropped to 1–2% in recent years, according to BP statistics.

Another critical factor is the decline in pressure at Iran’s section of the South Pars gas field, shared with Qatar—a decline that began in 2024. South Pars supplies over two-thirds of Iran's gas.

Years ago, Qatar collaborated with major Western energy companies to install 20,000-ton platforms—15 times heavier than Iran’s current offshore platforms—along with huge compressors in the Qatari section (the North Field).

But neither Iran nor its Chinese partners possess the technical capacity to manufacture such large-scale equipment.

Declining pressure

About nine months ago, Iran’s Oil Ministry signed a $17 billion contract with four domestic firms to implement pressure-boosting operations at South Pars. However, instead of installing 20,000-ton platforms, the plan calls for 4,000-ton structures, and for using weaker compressors instead of the massive units required.

An Iranian-British oil and gas engineer—designer of a BP mega-platform in Azerbaijan’s Caspian waters and currently working on the Qatari side of South Pars—told Iran International that the specifications of platforms and compressors outlined in the Iranian contract are inadequate to resolve the field’s pressure decline.

The engineer, who requested anonymity, added that restoring pressure on the Iranian side requires much larger platforms capable of hosting a full power plant, giant compressors and facilities for separating various gas streams and condensates.

The pressure in Iran’s section of South Pars was about 120 bar until two years ago, but has since been dropping by 6 bar per year, significantly reducing gas output.

Mohammad Oliya, CEO of MAPNA—one of the four companies awarded the $17 billion contract—said earlier this month that “no funding has yet been allocated” for the pressure-boosting project.

At the same time, the Revolutionary Guards-linked Tasnim news agency reported that although the contract was signed in March, no action beyond a series of study meetings and initial assessments has occurred.

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Where Iranians dare to speak to each other without fear

Dec 3, 2025, 15:46 GMT+0
•
Kambiz Hosseini

In Iran today, the riskiest act is neither protest nor journalism. It's conversation.

Around eleven o’clock on a winter Thursday night in Tehran, when smog hangs low and the city braces for yet another morning of inflation, something improbable happens.

People lift their phones and dial into a live call-in program that invites them to do what the state has discouraged for nearly 50 years, speak to one another without fear. In no other broadcast media do Iranians speak so freely.

Conversation, elsewhere, is a habit. In Iran, it is an act of retrieval. The Islamic Republic has regulated public expression so thoroughly that even a modest exchange, an honest memory, an unfiltered admission can feel subversive.

Authoritarian systems seldom fear noise, they fear permeability, the small openings through which private truth seeps back into collective life.

Conversation cannot, on its own, remake a country.

But it can remind people that they still constitute a public, and that a public, once it begins to speak, is difficult to extinguish.

On Thursday nights in Tehran, beneath a sky thick with pollutants and unspoken truths, that public can be heard, quietly but insistently, returning to life.

Each week I begin my program the same way: "What should Iran talk about tonight?" And the phone lines come alive.

Nostalgia

The first caller, a woman in Tehran named Artemis, speaks with the steadiness of someone who has carried a sentence around all day.

We know what we have lost, she begins, political rights, economic stability, clean air, the artists and scientists driven into exile. But we do not talk enough about what survived. Our culture, our sense of who we were.

She identifies as a monarchist, yet her critique is directed at her own camp. When monarchists scream and insult online, she says, they betray the very values they claim to defend, dignity, coexistence.

She pauses. Iran was once a place where different voices lived safely, she claims: we should try to be those voices again. It is a simple thought, but in a country where political language has been battered for decades, simplicity can sound radical.

Then the tone of the program shifts. A man named Ehsan calls from abroad with the urgency of someone carrying unresolved grief.

The time for talk is over, he declares. Forest fires, a collapsing currency, students expelled from school—none of it, he argues, will change until Iranians swear an oath to reclaim their homeland.

His language is harsh, almost martial, yet the emotion beneath it is unmistakably human: grief straining toward agency.

'I was wrong'

Then, a quieter voice enters the line, one woven deeply into Iran’s cultural memory.

Esfandiar Monfaredzadeh, the composer behind the defining soundtracks of pre-revolution Iranian cinema and several anthems that accompanied the uprising of 1979, speaks with a calm that cuts through the evening’s tension.

To many, he embodies the contradictions of that era, an artist who lent his talent to a revolution that promised liberation and delivered something narrower. What he does next is rare for his generation.

"I was wrong," he says. "I hope the generations after me can forgive us."

The confession does not land softly for everyone. A woman named Irandokht calls in, her voice tight with exhaustion. You left, she tells him. We stayed. And we live with what followed.

Her anger is not directed solely at him, it is aimed at the long silence surrounding his generation, decades in which few publicly reckoned with how a movement born in the language of justice hardened into repression.

Monfaredzadeh listens and responds without defensiveness. Under the Shah, he explains, Iranians had social and cultural freedoms, but not political ones.

Under the Islamic Republic, even those limited freedoms contracted. Until political freedom exists for everyone, he says, monarchists, republicans, leftists, Islamists, there can be no future worth building.

Other callers widen the frame. A woman from Karaj admits that during recent protests many workers stayed home out of fear of losing their salaries, leaving young demonstrators exposed.

Another describes an improvised referendum, the clanging of pots and pans from balconies, a city speaking through metal because speech itself had become unsafe.

I close the program the same way each week, Take good care of the person sitting next to you, I say, and sign off the national dialogue.

Then I sit for a moment longer and think to myself, we have a long way to go, yet the possibility of change feels close.

So close, no matter how far.

Tehran blood stocks dip as smog, remote work cut donations

Dec 3, 2025, 11:25 GMT+0

Blood reserves supplying 180 hospitals across Tehran have dropped after two weeks of heavy smog and widespread remote working reduced donor turnout, provincial officials said, warning the shortfall is beginning to affect daily supply plans.

Mohammadreza Mahdizadeh, head of Tehran Province Blood Transfusion, said the capital needs about 1,500 units a day but donations have slipped to roughly 1,100–1,200, creating a daily gap that erodes inventories.

He said mobile teams that previously collected at government offices cannot operate effectively because many staff are working from home, and even where teams can visit, “only one-third of employees are on site,” limiting volunteers.

He added that expected rain later this week typically depresses visits further.

Nationwide stocks stand at about 33,000 units – equal to 4.8 days of supply – but Tehran’s cover has fallen to 3.4 days, according to Babak Yektaperast, acting social affairs deputy at the national blood service.

He said advances in surgery and routine organ transplants have raised structural demand for blood products, widening the impact when donor turnout dips.

Yektaperast said air pollution is not, by itself, a barrier to giving blood, adding that high-risk groups such as children, the elderly, pregnant women and people with underlying diseases are already exempt from donating under blood service protocols.

“Some people may experience throat or eye irritation or chest pain from pollution, and we advise them not to donate,” he said, adding that most healthy adults remain eligible.

He said smog still depresses visits because residents prefer to stay home, while polluted days also bring more hospital admissions for conditions such as cardiac problems, upsetting the balance between donations and demand.

Daily, about 7,500 units are donated nationwide and 7,000 distributed, he said.

Mahdizadeh urged residents – “especially women and young people” – to treat donation as an essential errand during smog alerts and to check the provincial website for collection site hours.

Other provinces report pressure too. In Mazandaran, influenza and seasonal colds have sharply reduced donor turnout across all blood groups, the provincial blood service chief said on Wednesday.

Structural needs also weigh in the southeast. Sistan-Baluchestan has around 3,400 thalassemia patients who together require roughly 8,000 units a month, Yektaperast said, adding that accidents and other emergencies further strain local stocks.

Prices soar, basics scarce: Iranians struggle to fill the cart

Dec 3, 2025, 10:14 GMT+0

Iranians report rising prices and sporadic shortages of everyday goods and groceries, making it harder to cover basic needs and put food on the table, according to messages sent to Iran International.

Iran International asked ordinary shoppers in Iran to share their experiences of price hikes, the falling value of money, and the daily affordability challenges they face. A series of videos, audio clips, and text messages show mounting hardships.

Relentless price increases and runaway inflation have pushed families to the brink, forcing many to fight to survive rather than live any kind of normal life.

Their messages describe thinning shelves, collapsing purchasing power, and a growing sense that while ordinary people sink deeper into hardship, only profiteers and those connected to power continue to thrive.

“Everything is expensive and people are exhausted from all this inflation. There are no sales, businesses are dead. Only a miracle can save us from this situation,” one message said.

“In Iran, the government doesn’t care about these problems. Right now there is no business. Even if you work 24 hours a day, you’ll still come up short at the end of the month – unless you earn 3 million tomans (about $25) a day, which almost no one does, perhaps only 10% of the population,” another message said. Average Iranian income is about 100 to $150 per month.

Purchasing power

Local media tracking shows that in the past year, food prices in Iran have risen by an average of more than 66%.

Bread and grains are up 100%, fruits and nuts 108%, vegetables 69%, beverages 68%, fish and seafood 52%, and dairy products like milk, cheese and eggs 48%.

“Small retailers are either shut down or semi-closed because prices rise daily and the purchasing power of the middle class and the poor has completely collapsed. Only profiteers and those connected to the corrupt government benefit,” one message said.

“Prices for food, clothing, medicine, doctor visits, car parts – everything – are extremely high. Ninety percent of people fight just to survive, not to live.”

Daily rise

Other messages said conditions worsened after the 12-day war with Israel in June and the subsequent return of UN sanctions.

“I swear I haven’t bought red meat for a year. Same with chicken. After the 12-day war, I lost my job and my wife and children left me,” one message said.

Based on the accounts, some families have eliminated dairy except for cheese, stopped buying seasonal clothing, and cut out snacks entirely.

Dining out, visiting coffee shops, and even holding family gatherings have all but disappeared. For many, buying birthday gifts for children is no longer possible.

“This is our situation as a semi-affluent family above the poverty line. I can’t even imagine what life is like for those below it,” another message said.

Iran taekwondo athlete quits tournament to avoid Israeli rival

Dec 3, 2025, 09:24 GMT+0

An Iranian taekwondo athlete withdrew from the world under 21 championships in Kenya after the competition draw placed her against an Israeli opponent in the first round.

Rozhan Goudarzi, who won a bronze medal last month in the women’s under 51 kilogram category at the Islamic Solidarity Games in Riyadh, pulled out in line with Iran’s long standing policy that bars its athletes from competing against Israelis.

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei repeated in a speech last year that athletes must not face Israeli opponents and called on sports bodies to compensate those who withdraw, describing such decisions as a “sacrifice” for national and religious ideals.

He said “we must not neglect the well being of this athlete,” urging officials to support competitors who refuse to take part.

The policy has been in place since 1979 and has led to athletes forfeiting matches or intentionally losing to avoid Israeli rivals. Authorities have punished athletes who violate it, including a lifetime ban issued against a weightlifter who shook hands with an Israeli competitor at an event in Poland.

Rights groups and sports analysts say the stance has contributed to a rise in Iranian athletes leaving the country in recent years, with several competing abroad under new flags or joining the International Olympic Committee’s Refugee Team.

Iran-linked hackers target infrastructure in Israel, cyber firm says

Dec 3, 2025, 08:52 GMT+0

Cybersecurity firm ESET said it found new activity by the Iran aligned MuddyWater group that targeted critical infrastructure in Israel and one organization in Egypt.

MuddyWater, also known as Mango Sandstorm or TA450, has links to Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence and National Security and has targeted government and infrastructure in the Middle East and beyond since at least 2017.

Researchers said victims in Israel included technology, engineering, manufacturing, local government and education sectors. They said the group used new custom tools to improve its ability to hide and stay active inside networks, including a backdoor called MuddyViper that can gather system data, run commands, move files and steal Windows credentials and browser data.

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The report said the attackers used Fooder, a loader that reflects malware into memory and at times imitates the classic Snake game, to deploy MuddyViper. It said the group also used several credential stealers and avoided interactive sessions to reduce detection.

Researchers said the campaign relied on spearphishing emails that sent victims to installers for remote monitoring tools hosted on free file sharing sites. They said the operators used a range of malware, including VAX One, which imitates products such as Veeam and AnyDesk.

Past MuddyWater operations include attacks in Saudi Arabia and campaigns that overlapped with Lyceum, suggesting the group may serve as an initial access broker for other Iran linked actors.