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OPINION

Oil markets shrug off Israel-Iran war, impact of Mideast conflicts diminished - Reuters

Jun 25, 2025, 12:46 GMT+1

The contained spike and swift retreat in oil prices during the Israel-Iran war highlight a major shift in global energy dynamics: Middle East conflicts no longer move markets as they once did, according to an opinion piece by Reuters.

Brent crude rose 15% from under $70 on June 12 to $81.40 after US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities—but quickly fell back to $67 following a ceasefire and limited Iranian retaliation. There was no disruption to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and global supply remained steady.

The restrained market response contrasts sharply with past crises,energy columnist Ron Bousso wrote. The 1973 oil embargo, 1979 Iranian revolution, and 1990 Persian Gulf War each triggered price surges of 50% or more. This time, traders appeared less alarmed.

The analysis points to improved transparency—thanks to satellite tracking and real-time data—as well as better infrastructure.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE now export through pipelines that bypass the Strait of Hormuz. Regional producers also maintain storage in Asia and Europe, reducing short-term supply risk.

The author said that perhaps the world is less reliant on Middle Eastern oil. OPEC’s share of global supply has dropped to 33%, from over 50% in the 1970s, as output rises in the US, Brazil, and Canada.

The message from markets: Middle East flashpoints still matter—but they no longer dictate the price of oil, Bousso concluded.

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In rubble, not in court: Hajizadeh’s death and the voices of PS752

Jun 18, 2025, 22:23 GMT+1
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M. Mehdi Moradi

So much has happened since Israel began striking Iran that the killing of IRGC aerospace chief Amir Ali Hajizadeh already feels half-buried—but not to those who lost loved ones on Flight PS752, shot down by the forces under his command.

Hajizadeh was the face of Iran’s missile and drone program. He wasn’t its architect, but its courier. His image, projected through ceremony and spectacle, became central to the Islamic Republic’s projection of power.

That changed five years ago.

On January 8, 2020, two missiles, fired seconds apart, tore through a Ukrainian passenger jet departing Tehran. One hundred seventy-six lives were lost—students, children, newlyweds, entire families.

The next day, Hajizadeh appeared on television, standing before the flags of Iran’s regional allies and praising a missile strike on a US base in Iraq—launched in response to the killing of Qasem Soleimani days earlier.

He spoke with pride, smirking as if a massacre had not just unfolded under his command.The IRGC admitted to downing the plane three days later.

Hajizadeh resurfaced, blaming a lone operator. No resignation. No remorse. The gap between his initial celebration and later deflection said more than either moment alone.

In the years that followed, truth remained elusive. Families were silenced. One father recalled being told by a senior commander that if the plane had not crashed, Iran and the US might have gone to war, and “ten million could have died.”

Few admissions made the intent more legible: the passengers may have been a human shield against retaliation.

A reckoning by other means

For families of PS752, Hajizadeh’s killing brought a wave of raw emotion—grief laced with a private sense of justice. Their motto had always been: Never Forget, Never Forgive.

They had waited not for revenge, but for truth. For the day a free court would summon him by name. That day never came. The reckoning arrived by other means.

Hamed Esmaeilion, who lost his wife and nine-year-old daughter, Reera, responded to the news with words shaped by fury and mourning. He recalled Hajizadeh’s defense: “the operator had ten seconds to decide.”

That moment, Esmaeilion said, sealed Hajizadeh not as a soldier, but as a custodian of a lie. “You are dead,” he wrote, “but our hatred of you, dead and alive, will live on in history.”

For Esmaeilion and others, Hajizadeh’s death may have closed a chapter, but not the book—not before the eyes of his daughter Reera, now etched in the national memory as a symbol of innocence lost.

Javad Soleimani, who lost his wife that same morning, wrote that while there was relief, there was also regret: “Standing eye to eye with Hajizadeh was a wish that never came true.”

The feeling echoed in Meghdad Jebelli, whose nephew was killed aboard PS752.

“Regret was added to all the regrets of my life,” he said—not seeing Hajizadeh “in a prison uniform and handcuffs, standing in a righteous court.” Still, he admitted, the feeling was “sweeter” than any regret before it.

As news of Hajizadeh’s killing spread, many families posted joyful clips of their loved ones—glimpses of life reclaimed against the void left by the IRGC’s system of violence.

A legacy built on bluster

Hajizadeh had projected strength, but his record told a different story.

He postured as a man firm against enemies, but often struck the powerless. He softened when under pressure, as when he downplayed the US base strike, insisting it was symbolic and not meant to kill.

The man who smirked as families wept, who lied as bodies burned, is no more.

The house of cards he built—missiles, drones, staged power—collapsed with him. He never stood before Esmaeilion, Soleimani, Jebelli, or the nation’s eyes to face the public humiliation that real justice brings.

Still, the justice dealt in the rubble, though imperfect, carried its own humiliation.One journalist wrote she hoped he lived for “three minutes and forty-two seconds”—the time it took PS752 to fall from the sky.

For the families, it may have offered a moment of healing. But the wound will not close until the truth behind the tragedies under his command is brought to light—and the system that created him is confronted in full.

Critic warns Khamenei Iran is nearing collapse, urges US talks

Jun 15, 2025, 12:42 GMT+1

Sociologist Mostafa Mehraeen warned Ali Khamenei in an open letter that Iran is on the verge of collapse and urged a swift return to negotiations with the United States.

“Do not make people’s lives and the state of the country even darker than they already are,” Mehraeen wrote.

100%

Sociologist says some in Iran satisfied over death of state officials

Jun 14, 2025, 10:09 GMT+1

Kazem Alamdari, an Iranian sociologist and author, told Iran International that a portion of Iranian society has expressed satisfaction over the deaths of certain senior government officials, viewing them as perpetrators of state violence.

“There is a segment of society that feels a sense of relief over the killing of officials who have committed crimes,” Alamdari said.

“In contrast, others believe that the country is under foreign attack and that, in such circumstances, one must stand in defense of the homeland and its people.”

Trump reversed Iran sanctions pause after objecting to internal decision — WSJ

Jun 7, 2025, 07:26 GMT+1

A brief pause in new US sanctions on Iran was quietly ordered and then swiftly reversed by President Donald Trump, according to an editorial published Friday by The Wall Street Journal.

The Journal reported that White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt, working with the new National Security Council, had instructed the Treasury and State Departments to hold off on new sanctions. “The news didn’t go over well with President Trump,” the editorial said, adding that by Tuesday, “the pause had been lifted.”

On Friday, the administration announced a new round of sanctions targeting 10 individuals and 27 entities across Iran, China, Hong Kong, and the UAE for involvement in a shadow banking network said to be laundering billions for the Iranian regime.

“Pressure is back,” the Journal wrote, “but it needs to escalate to push Tehran to agree to a worthwhile nuclear deal.”

What has Iran gained from enrichment beyond symbolism—and at what cost?

May 29, 2025, 19:07 GMT+1

After five rounds of talks, Tehran and Washington project cautious optimism while persisting on their shared red line: Uranium enrichment inside Iran. But is the program worth the price it has exacted from ordinary Iranians?

Iranian academics Mehdi Ghodsi and Behrooz Bayat explain in an opinion piece.

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