Iran's regional influence network has been significantly degraded, presenting the United States with a crucial opportunity to foster a more stable Middle East, according to a Foreign Affairs opinion piece published on Wednesday.
The analysis – penned by Dana Stroul from with Washington Institute for Near East Policy, argues that recent Israeli military successes against Iranian-backed proxies and even within Iran have left Tehran more vulnerable than at any time in decades.
The piece contends that key figures within Iran's network have been eliminated, and substantial numbers of their fighters have been taken off the battlefield. Furthermore, arsenals have been depleted, and Iran's military-industrial capabilities have been damaged.
The author highlights the removal of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad as a key ally for Tehran, disrupting a crucial supply route. Failed missile attacks on Israel in 2024 are also cited as evidence of weakened deterrence and declining morale among Iran's affiliates.
The analysis suggests that this environment creates a window for establishing a new political framework in the region, strengthening governance and replacing leaders susceptible to Iranian influence.
However, the Stroulcautions that preventing Iran from regaining its footing requires more than just military action and cannot be solely left to Israel. Instead, the United States is positioned to lead a political stabilization process involving diplomacy, security assurances, and economic support for emerging leaders and populations seeking to break free from Tehran's sway.
The opinion piece criticizes President Trump's current strategy, which heavily emphasizes sanctions and military strikes, arguing that a more comprehensive approach involving multilateral engagement and foreign assistance is necessary to capitalize on Iran's weakened state.