Iran’s Former Intelligence Minister Describes Foreign Abductions

Ahmad Bakhshayesh, a former member of the parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee told Rouydad 24 news website Saturday that “seven or eight missiles must be fired” towards Syria or Iraq, if terrorists came from there, or “Iran should at least ask its allies and proxies to make a proper response [to whoever perpetrated the attack]”.

“Israel was the main instigator, the hypocrites [Mujahedin-e Khalq Organization] provided the means, and the fanatical ISIS who think they will go to heaven if they kill seven Shias were the executive agents [of the attack],” he said.

Also commenting on Iran's role in the war between Hamas and Israel, Bakhshayesh said the war is “Iran's war” but by providing technology and missiles to Hamas, the Lebanese Hezbollah, and Ansarullah of Yemen, they are indirectly fighting the war.

In a statement posted on its affiliate Telegram channels on Thursday, a branch of the Islamic State (ISIS or Daesh) in Afghanistan claimed responsibility for the explosions. The statement said two suicide bombers had detonated their explosive belts in the middle of the crowd, “resulting in the death and injury of more than 300 polytheists [Shiites]”.

US sources familiar with the intelligence told Reuters that communications intercepts indicate that Islamic State’s Afghanistan-based branch, known as Daesh of Khorasan, was responsible for the Kerman attack that killed around ninety and wounded over 200 people.

Iran's intelligence ministry says it has arrested eleven individuals who were involved in the logistics of the attack and identified one of the two suicide bombers as a Tajik national.

Former government spokesman and reformist politician Ali Rabiei has also commented that Israel’s Mossad may have infiltrated the group, and encouraged it to conduct an attack in Iran to draw Iran into the regional conflicts and the Gaza war.

Some military experts have also said it is possible that ISIS opportunistically took responsibility for an attack that others did not claim.

“There is high chance that ISIS's claim about being involved in the attack is false,” Babak Taghvaee, a defense expert, told Iran International Friday.

“They have done the same in the past. There have been other terror attacks around the world and whenever the attackers didn't take responsibility and didn't publish any statement it was ISIS that hijacked it,” he added.

The Daesh of Khorasan (ISIS-K) emerged in Afghanistan in late 2014 and officially announced its existence in 2015.

The group takes its name from Greater Khorasan, the eastern provinces of Iran in Sassanid times which encompassed most southern Central Asia, including today’s Afghanistan and Tajikistan. The members of the group were recruited from the Afghan and Pakistani Taliban and the Haqqani network.

The group seeks to establish the eastern branch of the Islamic State, the Khorasan Province of an Islamic emirate in Afghan territories and beyond. The Taliban government in Afghanistan considers ISIS-K as an insurgent group.

Like other branches of the Islamic State in the Middle East, the Daesh of Khorasan has conducted many terrorist attacks including suicide bombings in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
The Kerman bombing is the first attack in Iran that the Daesh of Khorasan has taken responsibility for.

Iranian authorities have also taken legal action against those who have ruled out Israel’s responsibility for the attack, including prominent political commentator Sadegh Zibakalam who has been indicted by Tehran Public and Revolutionary Prosecutor.

In an interview with the Voice of America’s Persian television Zibakalam had said that Israel could not be held responsible for the Kerman bombings because it “does not attack innocent people”.

The council pointed out that a number of students attended the event without the presence of their families, attributing it to the planning of the ministry of education. The students are considered victims of what the council described as “the propaganda policies of the education system.”

On the fourth anniversary of IRGC General Qasem Soleimani's death, a twin bombing occurred at his gravesite on Wednesday, resulting in the death of about 90 people. Iranians are now questioning the ongoing impact of the commander's legacy, especially considering that during Soleimani’s burial procession in 2020, about 60 people were crushed to death in a stampede.

In the aftermath of the targeted killing of Qasem Soleimani in January 2020, former US President Donald Trump referred to him as "the number-one terrorist anywhere in the world."

Following Hamas' actions in Israel on October 7, Soleimani's name resurfaced in Iran's state-affiliated media. While many officials hailed the attack as a fulfillment of Soleimani's efforts, they simultaneously denied any direct involvement in the planning or execution of the operation.

Abdollah Naseri, a former CEO of state news agency IRNA, criticized the Iranian authorities for an extensive propaganda campaign, portraying Soleimani as a national hero. Naseri stated that Soleimani has been a 30-year burden on the nation without making any substantial contributions to the people's wellbeing.

On Saturday, Mohammad-Ali Keinezhad, the head of the Supreme Council of the Cultural Revolution's recruitment department outlined a scoring system where “having one child is worth 5 points, two children accumulate 11 points, and being married adds 5 points.”

The revelation follows an October announcement by an Iranian member of parliament regarding plans to allocate thousands of hectares of land to families for building houses, as an incentive for childbirth. As part of a broader population growth initiative, 200,000 domestically produced cars were distributed to “eligible individuals,” prompting questions about the fairness of distribution.

Iran is grappling with a demographic shift from a youthful to an aging population, presenting challenges for the nation. The decline in childbirth rates in recent decades has worried the ruling regime. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has called for efforts to increase the population from 85 million to as high as 150 million. In response, the parliament passed a law encouraging marriage and childbirth while prohibiting family planning options in public health services.

Critics argue that the population policy falls short of addressing economic hardships, with nearly 50% of the population living below the poverty line. Despite holding multiple jobs, many Iranians face ongoing challenges, raising concerns about the broader impact of the initiatives on the country's socio-economic landscape.

Living in exile in Europe, Karimi became one of the influential voices during anti-regime protests in 2022, using his influence on social media to defend young women and men, who were facing heavily armed vigilante and security forces.

For years, soccer spectators have been loudly chanting his name in stadiums, despite the authorities' disdain for him. His messages prove remarkably effective and influential during critical moments, to the extent that state television hosts have officially insulted him, labeling him as dishonorable and unworthy.

As an example of his style, on January 3, Karimi posted a twelve-word Persian tweet and received 103,000 likes, more than most famous Western politicians can ever dream of. It simply said, “Have you ever seen an honorable and decent person support this regime? I haven’t seen one.”

Ali Karimi, as a social phenomenon, prompts three questions for observers of Iran: How did a soccer player emerge as the voice of opposition in a country where professional soccer is state-owned? Why can't the government simply ignore him? And what are the underlying themes of Karimi's messages that have elevated him to a position of greater influence than even the most renowned artists, politicians, and religious authorities in the country?

Message: expressing the feelings of the main streets

Let's begin with the last question. Ali Karimi has attained an intuitive grasp of conveying the sentiments of ordinary people on the streets, in bazaars, taxis, shops, barbershops, gatherings, and even at funerals. His messages mirror the conversations that take place among people in these everyday settings, resonating like precious gems in their hands. Millions of individuals share and transmit his messages among themselves. He adeptly seizes the moment, creating opportunities for dialogue or progression, and hands the metaphorical ball to the people, allowing them to take shots at the government's policies.

Karimi transmits his messages, often in very brief format, vis social media to people in Iran. The impact that his messages and posts by other activists have among the people is the reason why Iran had blocked almost all global social media platforms. Islamic Republic’s leaders, including its 84-year-old ruler Ali Khamenei detest the Internet and messaging apps mainly for this reason.

Upgrade to the voice of the voiceless

Over a span of 15 years, Ali Karimi evolved into a prominent advocate for the non-elite population in opposition to the government. During the waves of the Green Movement protests in 2009, he was among the players who sported green wristbands during a match against South Korea. Renowned for his dazzling dribbling skills, Karimi enjoys popularity among Iranians and stands as an emblematic figure in Asian soccer. He has harnessed his popularity to engage in charitable endeavors and express his political dissent.

Karimi gradually transformed from a national soccer star into an influential figure in the national public spotlight. His open criticism of Mohammad Javad Zarif's anti-Israel positions, the ban on women entering stadiums, the role of IRGC commanders in managing soccer in the country, the downing of the Ukrainian airliner in 2020, and the nationwide protests in 2019 gradually made him a civil and political activist.

Government’s concern

The substantial number of followers, reposts, and likes garnered by Karimi's messages in the digital realm, coupled with the fact that there are over 60 million smartphones in the hands of Iranians, has granted him a platform that the government cannot disregard. With the official state radio and television news website receiving approximately just 124,000 monthly visitors, it is evident that authorities are apprehensive about Ali Karimi's influence, and they cannot afford to overlook him. His exceptional reach has prompted the propaganda machinery and government officials to issue threats against him.

Reza Naqipour, deputy head of the presidential office and the former Head of Security of the Football Federation threatened Ali Karimi with the hashtag of "Ruhullah Zam" (journalist, kidnapped in 2019 by IRGC intelligence and executed in 2020). "One day you will return the way that we like, not the way you like!" which means the threat of kidnapping and execution.

This week, Iran’s state television tried to discredit Karimi for a tweet he posted on January 3, following a deadly twin bombing in Kerman, where around 90 people visiting the gravesite of Qasem Soleimani were killed. Karimi said, "Go for free food and drink, but you will get a hard revenge," referring to regime’s policy of feeding people who attend its events. But what officials do not understand is that people receive Karimi's messages directly from him and pay little attention to the government television. Tens of thousands on social media came to his support by posting comments or liking and re-posting other messages.

More than one hundred days into the current water year, nationwide rainfall remains unsatisfactory, with a 44.3% decrease compared to the long-term average.

In Tehran Province, there has been a staggering 67% reduction in precipitation compared to the long-term average for the current water year. The available water volume in the reservoirs of the five dams supplying water to Tehran Province has dropped to less than 300 million cubic meters, posing a significant risk given the current climatic conditions.

Mohsen Ardekani, CEO of Tehran Province Water and Wastewater Company, noted that despite meteorological predictions, this year's autumn rainfall in Tehran has fallen by 55%. He stressed the importance of effective demand and consumption management in securing Tehran's water supply. Ardekani urged citizens in Tehran to actively participate in water consumption management, calling for a 10% reduction in consumption and the avoidance of unnecessary usage to ensure a sustainable water supply in the province.

The persistent drought in Iran has led to criticism of the government's environmental mismanagement. Reports indicate that a quarter of Iran's farmers have lost their livelihoods in the past seven years due to water scarcity, resulting in economic impacts, soil erosion, desertification, and hazardous dust storms affecting approximately half of Iran's population, according to the country's health ministry.