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An Iranian member of parliament said the likelihood of war with the United States has dropped from “100 % to about 50% because the US doubts it could achieve victory.”
Manouchehr Mottaki said negotiations are unlikely to produce practical results but could still discourage Washington from imposing a war, adding that Iranians should not expect tangible gains from talks.
He also said the US spent the past month using “threats of war to influence public opinion in Iran and globally, but that the threats did not yield results.”
The killing of thousands of protesters in Iran last month was followed by a near-total internet and phone blackout, leaving millions of Iranians abroad trapped in prolonged fear, trauma, and emotional paralysis.
For nearly three weeks, millions inside Iran were cut off from the outside world as authorities imposed sweeping restrictions on internet access and international phone lines after the violent suppression of protests. For Iranians in the diaspora, the silence was devastating.
Many describe days and nights spent refreshing news feeds, replaying worst-case scenarios, and bracing for phone calls that never came. Even when limited connections were restored, the anxiety did not ease.
“Psychologically, not knowing what is happening—or whether family members are safe—keeps the body and mind in a prolonged state of stress,” Canadian-Iranian clinical counsellor Farnaz Farrokhi told Iran International.
A state of constant alarm
Farrokhi says many in the diaspora are experiencing “constant anxiety, compulsive news checking, feelings of helplessness and guilt, and emotional disconnection from loved ones.”
“What I’m seeing is the continuation of collective trauma, layered on top of long-standing emotional wounds from years of instability, loss, and fear,” she said, adding that many are also grappling with survivor’s guilt—being physically safe while loved ones are not.
For Narges, an IT specialist living in the Netherlands, the days of disconnection were unbearable.
“At work, my colleagues’ laughter and jokes were painful,” she said. “But I couldn’t—and didn’t have the right to—transfer my anxiety to them. I couldn’t interact the way I normally do.”
She took two days off, hoping rest would help. It did not.
“At home it was no better. Every time the phone rang, the doorbell sounded, or even a small object fell, I jumped. My heart would start racing.”
Trauma spilling into family life
For Taraneh, an Iranian living in Italy, the emotional toll extended to her six-year-old son.
“I try very hard not to let my son see the painful images—bodies piled together in black bags,” she said. “But sometimes I can’t hide my grief or my tears.”
Her son keeps asking why she is crying.
“I don’t have an answer that makes sense to him,” she said. “And not being able to explain my feelings makes me feel even worse.”
Even after limited international calls were allowed, communication remained fragile. Calls were brief, unstable, and often cut off without warning. Some families waited days for a single connection.
Fear of surveillance shaped many conversations. Families resorted to coded language, wary that saying too much could endanger loved ones.
“When my parents finally called, we could only cry. We didn’t know what to say to each other,” said Leila, a London-based Iranian expat. “We both knew about the massacre, but we couldn’t talk about it because there was every reason to believe our conversation wouldn’t stay private.”
“My mum said it had rained a lot there,” Leila recalled. “I knew she meant the bloodshed—not rain. It hadn’t rained at all.”
An open wound
For some, reconnection brought devastating news: learning days—or even weeks—later that relatives or friends had been killed, injured, or arrested.
“Today I saw the father of one of my child’s classmates at the school gate,” Germany-based mother Neda Soltani wrote on X. “He looked stunned. He burst into tears and said his cousin in Tehran had been killed—and he had only found out this morning.”
“Two Iranians stood there crying at the school gate,” she added. “Others just walked past.”
Farrokhi warns that without acknowledgement, safety, and the restoration of trust and communication, the psychological toll on the diaspora will continue to deepen.
“This is not just about grief,” she said. “It’s about living in a constant state of alarm—never knowing when the next rupture will come.”
Australian Senator Raff Ciccone said the country stands with the people of Iran in condemning the government’s brutal repression of peaceful protests and its denial of basic human rights.
“The Albanese Government recognizes the courage, grief and advocacy of the Iranian people – including those in Australia – and will continue to act firmly with international partners in defense of human rights and international law,” he wrote on X.
Ciccone said he raised the issue in the Senate and voiced support for the Australian government’s targeted sanctions on those responsible, including individuals and entities directly linked to the IRGC.
Countries in the region are deeply concerned that any confrontation in the Persian Gulf could ignite a wider war and draw in the entire region, an Iranian lawmaker said on Wednesday as regional states try to mediate between Iran and the United States.
Alaeddin Boroujerdi, a member of parliament’s national security and foreign policy commission, said oil-dependent countries and those tied to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz are particularly worried because a conflict in the Persian Gulf would directly threaten energy flows and regional stability.
He also said Iran’s “missile and nuclear capabilities are our red line.”
The United States has agreed to move the venue of upcoming negotiations with Iran from Turkey to Oman, Axios reported on Tuesday citing an Arab source.
The talks are expected to be held on Friday in Oman, the report said.
“Negotiations are still ongoing about whether Arab and Muslim countries from the region will join the talks in Oman.”
