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Iran views itself as potentially expendable to both Russia and China, a factor that could facilitate Washington's nuclear negotiations with Tehran, according to an analysis by RealClearDefense (RCD).
RCD, a publication created with input from the Pentagon and the US House Armed Services Committee staff, suggests that historical grievances and current geopolitical realities have fostered a deep-seated distrust of Russia among the Iranian populace.
This sentiment, the article argues, stems from Russia's past actions, including its lack of support during critical junctures. “Of the six resolutions issued by the United Nations Security Council between 2006 and 2010, Russia did not veto any of them.”
The analysis highlights a significant negative public perception of Russia within Iran, citing surveys indicating that a majority of Iranians hold unfavorable views of Moscow.
RCD argues that Iran's leadership is likely aware of Russia's history of prioritizing its own interests, using Iran as a "card" in international forums.
The analysis suggests that Tehran recognizes that Moscow might ultimately prioritize a reconciliation with Ukraine and closer ties with Israel, even at Iran's expense.
RCD concludes that Moscow's tactical view of Iran makes it unlikely that Russia would significantly impede Washington's efforts to secure a new nuclear agreement with Iran, even if those efforts involve the threat of military force.
